TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$273,278
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$269,736

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,278 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf668…5c69backed 76ers46c86,256$39,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,588.0736359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers42c29,448$12,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,233.064,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers43c23,834$10,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,238.529,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons54c21,752$11,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,005.746,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Pistons54c12,591$6,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,784.0520843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons61c11,618$7,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,584.983,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed 76ers41c9,000$3,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,69066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Pistons58c7,500$4,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,150.061,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Pistons54c5,500$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5301,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Pistons56c4,803$2,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,113.2272648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Pistons56c4,296$2,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.751,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Pistons53c4,219$2,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,982.721,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Pistons52c2,735$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.7174748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c5e…a114backed Pistons57c2,436$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.273554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Pistons54c2,310$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.622948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked 76ers46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.998445.2%38 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pistons54c1,651$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.35,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93e7…cc0cbacked Pistons56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6606352.4%33 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Pistons58c1,375$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.365762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed 76ers41c1,185$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.8556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pistons54c993$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.785,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed 76ers45c952.1$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.9752951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed 76ers47c790.48$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.531,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1073…d8babacked 76ers46c738.94$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.911330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed 76ers41c702.2$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.91,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Pistons58c648.09$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.7516948.5%82 W · 87 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons54c610.83$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.981,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Pistons55c598.66$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26858953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Pistons55c540$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24392058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed 76ers47c520.47$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.9613138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Pistons54c506.36$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.9948152%250 W · 231 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed 76ers47c487.18$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.9729849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed 76ers47c481.3$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.1990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Pistons54c450.19$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.0939552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pistons54c442.89$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.942,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Pistons57c427.26$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.7219258.3%112 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pistons53c424.53$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.532,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed 76ers47c412$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.6436852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked 76ers46c326.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0135849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Pistons54c325.72$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.831,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked 76ers47c296.26$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2411346%52 W · 61 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked 76ers47c292.31$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3519550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Pistons54c290.02$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.284938.8%19 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked 76ers47c284.56$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.7514852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed 76ers47c271.22$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4734953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pistons54c271.12$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.712,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Pistons56c267.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7989853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed 76ers47c260.15$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2771654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Pistons57c245.91$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7432450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Pistons57c245.91$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.747153.5%38 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed 76ers43c242.33$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.293543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed 76ers47c237.55$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6556447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked 76ers44c219.94$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.771,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed 76ers47c206$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8265349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed 76ers43c203.29$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3791746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfc7…7f02backed Pistons75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507557.3%43 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed 76ers51c191.47$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0428949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Pistons51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.251,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed 76ers46c185.8$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4724151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed 76ers47c183.96$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4643052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Pistons57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.498263.4%52 W · 30 L-0.3wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb069…498cbacked 76ers48c161.47$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pistons54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.52,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b17…ae67backed Pistons57c140.34$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Pistons55c137.9$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.731,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Pistons54c137.56$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2810252.9%54 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f32…ab75backed Pistons54c135.06$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.138156.8%46 W · 35 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x75ac…be97backed 76ers42c127.06$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.361643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Pistons55c117.67$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8167949.8%338 W · 341 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf787…7b27backed 76ers42c114.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.262347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Pistons54c108.95$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0235546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed 76ers36c106.84$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4627138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed 76ers47c103$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4118552.4%97 W · 88 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Pistons54c102.28$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.115252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Pistons53c101$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3280653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed 76ers41c100.47$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.191,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed 76ers45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4513747.4%65 W · 72 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed 76ers45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4568645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Pistons79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2117748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Pistons54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4695260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb51…f32cbacked 76ers49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.474240.5%17 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Pistons54c98.12$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.027751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Pistons60c97.6$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.049854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f0c…160cbacked 76ers44c96.64$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5213858%80 W · 58 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed 76ers44c96.64$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5233949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Pistons54c93.61$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9716053.8%86 W · 74 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2238…e069backed 76ers44c91.76$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.67757.1%44 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Pistons56c89.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4338751.2%198 W · 189 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf836…f39cbacked Pistons56c88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7227059.6%161 W · 109 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Pistons54c85.57$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3646255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x45db…08f3backed Pistons54c85.57$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.361758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49dd…a40bbacked Pistons57c85.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7514555.2%80 W · 65 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94d4…18f9backed Pistons54c82.31$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.754654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Pistons59c81.28$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3276552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…fa04backed 76ers49c81.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7514040%56 W · 84 L-13.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed 76ers35c77.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.821,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xbf1d…e193backed Pistons54c72.03$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.135463%34 W · 20 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Pistons54c71.66$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9613052.3%68 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked 76ers45c68.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3364844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Pistons58c68.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.431,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.