TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,190
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,117

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,190 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x161a…4103backed Under48c1,135$550 inWon+$585.132,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under39c1,015$396 inWon+$619.289,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over50c920$460 inLost-$46011242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over59c609.99$361 inLost-$36131354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over61c488.3$298 inLost-$297.8614338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed Over63c252.51$159 inLost-$159.085133.3%17 W · 34 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Under41c86.33$35 inWon+$50.9420349.3%100 W · 103 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under37c80.95$30 inWon+$513,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9502…7878backed Over63c79.16$50 inLost-$49.873256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over53c38.61$20 inLost-$20.462,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1970…e980backed Under41c30.16$12 inWon+$17.88037.5%30 W · 50 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Over67c29.3$20 inLost-$19.7414237.3%53 W · 89 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Over62c25.79$16 inLost-$15.9310764.5%69 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.