TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,129
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,870

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,129 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbedb…3b26backed Over48c20,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,60016346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c18,458$9,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,836.469,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over47c17,907$8,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,416.367650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under53c10,056$5,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,764.232,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over44c4,980$2,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,193.813,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Under55c3,021$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.5248352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under53c2,231$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.321,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under53c2,231$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.3290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c2,216$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.71,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under53c1,839$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.3229849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed Under53c1,600$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.991850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under53c1,482$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.6471654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under24c1,369$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.2783039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under49c1,345$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.782,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under54c1,306$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.1140451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under28c1,112$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.591,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under39c979.08$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.792,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over49c791.35$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.7621950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over46c727.14$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.256,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over49c598.02$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.753647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Under53c585.16$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.054050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Under56c584.16$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.0321653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c551.36$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.142,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09c7…66e4backed Over73c538.73$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.272528%7 W · 18 L-6.7wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under19c469.32$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.4952230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Under53c460.84$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.547153.5%38 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over47c409.56$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.4922047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c381.86$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.115,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Over45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under52c298.38$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2258953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf342…057bbacked Over67c292.67$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.041163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6859…acd8backed Over30c286.51$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.341546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over46c254.71$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.173348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over44c254$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7647436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over47c202.52$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.181,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Under52c194.24$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2414046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Under58c191.58$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.846450%32 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x834f…266ebacked Over14c191.4$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.551936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under53c188.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.431,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under12c184.7$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.541,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1828949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5545…9d86backed Over50c180.37$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.521145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Under54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8332952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over50c176.03$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9393543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c170.05$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.922,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Over49c166.18$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.431553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under15c163.1$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.6455751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa793…9059backed Over47c149.93$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under53c141.97$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7229352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Under55c141.53$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6912048.3%58 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Under53c137.52$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.639854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over47c131.51$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8178648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over73c130$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.91,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under27c129.12$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.732,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under67c120.61$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.251,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Over47c113.63$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4114155.3%78 W · 63 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa02…8094backed Under53c106.35$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.981471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Over73c100.2$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2710764.5%69 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2110…306fbacked Over49c99.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over48c98.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4747738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb52a…31a2backed Over47c96.82$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.519950.5%50 W · 49 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under52c95.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.823,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Over51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5318552.4%97 W · 88 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d5…7620backed Under53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.093253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0965349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Over28c88.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.913253.8%71 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f14…2573backed Over48c75.61$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.291729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-42.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Over48c72.24$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.682832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under28c65.77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.431,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x015d…7bc7backed Under48c61.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.246553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under41c61.09$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0737753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe4…ff5cbacked Under49c60.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.842161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5137…4648backed Under51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.416651.2%85 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0875…167cbacked Over73c57.83$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.443565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73d6…09edbacked Under53c55.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8510047%47 W · 53 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over47c52.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5964844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2368645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under42c48.84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4689048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over47c48.69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.081,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under56c41.24$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3567248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under28c37.01$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.659735.1%34 W · 63 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f74…4adabacked Under53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2410850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over53c36.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4422756.8%129 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under36c36.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2533159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over47c35.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6780653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x104b…ed6bbacked Under48c34.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.163850%19 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under53c31.1$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.631,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23e7…fca5backed Under45c30.76$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.066962.3%43 W · 26 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under55c30.21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.691746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dbf…3ef8backed Over49c29.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.74936.7%18 W · 31 L-5.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-23.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over48c25.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4252552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Over56c25.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.274025%10 W · 30 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-56.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3324…3b4cbacked Over49c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.253040%12 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under48c24.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.96274.2%46 W · 16 L+11.3wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+27.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Over47c22.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.634641%142 W · 204 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Under54c22.01$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1253349.3%263 W · 270 L-28.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under53c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3415846.8%74 W · 84 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc55d…405abacked Under53c21.81$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2515459.7%92 W · 62 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ef0…d45bbacked Over77c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.34257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.