TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,149
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,251

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,149 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0bfc…6762backed Under48c2,433$1,168 inWon+$1,264.481931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over52c2,117$1,101 inLost-$1,101.012,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over49c1,590$778 inLost-$778.013,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Under50c1,446$717 inWon+$728.4412147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under57c341.82$195 inWon+$146.9895452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over70c323.67$227 inLost-$226.5714338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Under30c319.65$96 inWon+$223.856817.6%12 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over52c215.38$112 inLost-$11291846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2508…e25cbacked Under48c200.88$97 inWon+$103.56850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Over50c160$80 inLost-$8037665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over52c134$70 inLost-$69.682,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5aa…0058backed Over53c91.68$49 inLost-$48.596443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Under46c79.25$36 inWon+$42.7931151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over51c62.42$32 inLost-$323,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over74c60$44 inLost-$44.41,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Over52c49.99$26 inLost-$2626345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over54c48.93$26 inLost-$26.3589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under26c47.25$12 inWon+$34.9634255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under48c37.56$18 inWon+$19.5320247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa13f…0730backed Over54c36.01$19 inLost-$19.451478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over43c30$13 inLost-$12.937753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ac…4035backed Over50c30$15 inLost-$15911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick43cpaid-71.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Over56c27.3$15 inLost-$15.2925651.6%132 W · 124 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.