TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,426
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,296

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,426 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers43c2,837$1,209 inLost-$1,208.769,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Pistons55c1,769$973 inWon+$796.446126.2%16 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed 76ers54c1,501$811 inLost-$810.752,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pistons55c918.72$505 inWon+$413.42,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e35…a3bdbacked 76ers17c779.95$131 inLost-$131.46837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed 76ers46c387.04$178 inLost-$178.0448751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed 76ers44c327.95$144 inLost-$143.6759255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed 76ers35c289.81$101 inLost-$101.4311033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked 76ers54c135.16$73 inLost-$72.9934247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed 76ers43c134.56$58 inLost-$57.5989048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed 76ers54c113.9$62 inLost-$61.540750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a2c…e2d0backed 76ers52c93.38$49 inLost-$48.561154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed 76ers54c91.12$49 inLost-$49.249247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pistons45c89.09$40 inWon+$492,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked 76ers55c77.84$43 inLost-$42.8114338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed 76ers54c75.35$41 inLost-$40.6937848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Pistons54c68.12$37 inWon+$31.5491846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed 76ers54c59.32$32 inLost-$32.0355751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed 76ers54c59.32$32 inLost-$32.0333159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed 76ers54c58.02$31 inLost-$31.3320247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…d90ebacked Pistons58c57.14$33 inWon+$247164.8%46 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked 76ers47c52.29$25 inLost-$24.661,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed 76ers51c48.85$25 inLost-$24.8766732.4%216 W · 451 L+41.8wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-3.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked 76ers42c45.96$19 inLost-$19.314237.3%53 W · 89 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.