TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 11.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,239
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,213

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,239 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes57c512.74$292 inLost-$292.2619951.8%103 W · 96 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked No50c500$250 inWon+$25039265.1%255 W · 137 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Yes50c314.39$157 inLost-$156.789947.5%47 W · 52 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7efd…caedbacked No56c300$168 inWon+$1329975.8%75 W · 24 L+16.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+28%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Yes45c266.09$121 inLost-$120.9114445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No43c171.64$74 inWon+$97.831,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x191e…dd9ebacked Yes63c137.42$86 inLost-$86.281526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-53%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No43c126.32$54 inWon+$725,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed No75c121.84$92 inWon+$29.951,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No37c110.56$41 inWon+$69.6579650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Yes57c102.29$58 inLost-$58.3142348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No72c79.99$58 inWon+$22.495260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9382…4ee3backed Yes22c68.97$15 inLost-$15.257251.4%37 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d06…8edfbacked Yes25c58.52$15 inLost-$14.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Yes52c56.66$29 inLost-$29.4640053.5%214 W · 186 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked No71c55$39 inWon+$15.9527074.1%200 W · 70 L+30.5wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe86d…ada3backed No51c52.14$27 inWon+$25.5515362.1%95 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked No38c35.08$13 inWon+$21.637753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked No79c30.64$24 inWon+$6.5732866.5%218 W · 110 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed No78c29.99$23 inWon+$6.660267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcfb0…b6f5backed No78c27.27$21 inWon+$62462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes57c25.64$15 inLost-$14.6130055.7%167 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed No55c20$11 inWon+$93464.7%22 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.