NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4be1584e65153e5e94a05f05ef6a31a4a7ca934562d898ab05a39cf23f154f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 48c | 9,821$4,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,713.91 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 51c | 8,106$4,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,971.92 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 5,119$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508.21 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 2,087$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.73 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 52c | 1,144$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.49 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 52c | 1,135$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.33 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Over | 49c | 990.59$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.39 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 52c | 929.57$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.91 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Over | 46c | 814.28$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.57 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Under | 55c | 711.99$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 52c | 704.98$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.31 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 52c | 704.98$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.31 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over | 45c | 644.67$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.1 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Under | 54c | 603.52$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Under | 57c | 597.71$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.73 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 52c | 498.6$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.33 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a89…76ecbacked Over | 50c | 389.22$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.98 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 19c | 382.81$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.23 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 53c | 373.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.89 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Under | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…a3bdbacked Over | 11c | 330.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Over | 49c | 307.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.91 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 294.26$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.13 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 16c | 282.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.4 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Under | 52c | 280.34$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.56 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ab…8c2ebacked Over | 45c | 216.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 45c | 186.14$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.62 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4d…0486backed Over | 51c | 184.86$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.33 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 49c | 180.71$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.55 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Over | 44c | 180$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 45c | 158.81$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.21 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Under | 57c | 127.64$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 65c | 119.42$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.08 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…3ef0backed Over | 55c | 117.93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 43c | 115.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 55c | 99.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe4…ff5cbacked Over | 48c | 99.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Under | 57c | 94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 44c | 83.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 60c | 73.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 45c | 67.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 42c | 62.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 52c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5409…b663backed Under | 56c | 58.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 48c | 56.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 44c | 54.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb2…fea3backed Under | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Under | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4de2…60acbacked Under | 53c | 48.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over | 49c | 46.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…880abacked Over | 44c | 43.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Under | 55c | 41.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…c307backed Under | 57c | 38.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x114d…3b5fbacked Over | 45c | 38.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898f…e9f2backed Over | 51c | 38.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a2…36ddbacked Under | 54c | 37.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…ccfdbacked Under | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde15…b1c5backed Over | 44c | 32.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Over | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 46c | 30.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 55c | 29.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…f5dcbacked Over | 46c | 29.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d96…e396backed Over | 45c | 29.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…5cdbbacked Under | 53c | 28.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 27.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 48c | 26.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Under | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8b…6cd9backed Over | 52c | 22.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…8b8bbacked Under | 55c | 19.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1191…dee8backed Over | 80c | 16.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Pistons vs. 76ersPistons won
- Pistons vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Pistons vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5Under won
- Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 239.5Under won
- Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.