TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$162,885

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,885 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes32c38,555$12,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,404.535438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes32c31,141$9,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,964.963348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No67c30,775$20,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,067.6896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c14,704$9,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,743.3368750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked No69c11,223$7,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,479.181631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.27per pick58cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2b7c…3c87backed No70c9,402$6,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,850.192142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No68c9,249$6,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,959.716045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes33c3,307$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.3415244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9308463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No69c2,999$2,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.1711153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c2,886$2,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.062,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes25c2,426$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.261,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No68c2,159$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.831833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf60…8b73backed No70c2,051$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f07…f1bcbacked No55c1,983$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.2650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No68c1,760$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No68c1,611$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.4233148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No68c1,208$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.8135646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b93…e941backed No68c1,065$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.92875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No67c1,056$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.5493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3602123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-48.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfc6…df85backed Yes32c930.36$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.72742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes33c911.53$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.2822743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes33c832.17$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.6214752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No68c788$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.1637250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfabf…231cbacked Yes27c652.8$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.26520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes32c599.98$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19215844.3%70 W · 88 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes27c597.08$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.344825%12 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Yes33c547.78$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.7740%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No68c500.02$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.1240549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No68c499.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16046047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes30c438.67$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.638547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea4…a85fbacked Yes31c405.43$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes31c401.18$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2211136.9%41 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Yes45c361.66$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.481250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes33c353.73$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.734942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes29c342.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.276628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed No70c283.61$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No68c272.25$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1241854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1a…0b60backed No68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed No68c191.56$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.33953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e33…5825backed Yes31c187.42$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No79c186.65$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0620749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed No70c181.23$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.37742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No68c180$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.623353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No68c171.48$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4439354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Yes31c158.8$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.238058.8%47 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6e…33d8backed Yes31c158.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.62450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+74%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Yes33c156.62$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.681838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Yes32c155.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.626241.9%26 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed No67c150$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.52673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd5be…5c26backed No70c147.1$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2b2…2e80backed Yes32c143.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked No70c141.81$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.54633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Yes28c140.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.721770.6%12 W · 5 L+5.5wins+0.32per pick38cpaid+93.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x122d…bcb1backed No70c131.06$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.323100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed Yes32c130.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.921717.6%3 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-48.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbbcc…de88backed No70c127.33$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e0…776ebacked No67c124.46$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.271435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e4a…7045backed Yes32c123.06$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.381540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes32c118.86$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0421548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe728…9d87backed Yes45c110.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.57728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2702…a103backed Yes38c103.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.55616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.43per pick60cpaid-77.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Yes27c102.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.811020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-47.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.523245.3%105 W · 127 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324379.1%34 W · 9 L+6.7wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+21.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322552%13 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+34.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8136…772cbacked No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes23c99.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8626747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed Yes31c99.25$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.77714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfe5…cf64backed No56c97.37$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Yes28c95.32$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.699440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No68c92.03$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1832854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a6…44edbacked Yes32c80.75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.845955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes33c73.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4111346.9%53 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc85e…5d37backed Yes43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.741338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Yes32c68.9$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0513447.8%64 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No70c67.74$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1718858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x452f…b277backed Yes31c65.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.354533.3%15 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No67c62.83$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.731855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7468…3d24backed Yes32c61.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.691127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe013…764fbacked Yes32c61.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.65616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-73.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Yes30c61.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.374252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed No68c60.2$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.264654.3%25 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50f6…b8c6backed Yes33c60.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe89a…467ebacked No68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.265254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes31c58.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3918253.8%98 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Yes45c57.28$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.775135.3%18 W · 33 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1465…9f10backed No68c56.57$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.11392.3%12 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick69cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Yes33c54.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.011553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes39c50.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.836955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8775backed No69c50.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.611361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123432.4%11 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Yes31c49.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.381553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes32c46.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.897136.6%26 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b3a…e4f4backed Yes32c46.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No60c45.66$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3352748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb146…c098backed No70c42.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.76425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.45639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.