TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,901

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,901 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No47c6,387$3,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,382.62,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No30c5,717$1,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,993.334144.6%152 W · 189 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes70c5,004$3,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,498.251973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b91…06c4backed Yes48c4,189$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.53616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-78.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes70c3,099$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,156.377345.2%33 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No33c2,642$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,768.3976234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No30c1,735$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.261,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes66c1,511$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006448.4%31 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No32c1,355$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.983,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Yes68c1,176$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.683339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c2e…f1c7backed Yes68c1,103$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.31844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed No32c1,100$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.971421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes68c998.08$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.2633938.1%129 W · 210 L-16.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024132%77 W · 164 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No30c800$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55635856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05a2…468cbacked No30c599.93$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.95837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed No31c500$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3452759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d8…ad50backed Yes70c492.86$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked No38c447.78$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.7838055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No33c443.47$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.211,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed Yes69c434.78$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x955f…2a6fbacked Yes58c413.32$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes68c381.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.756768.7%46 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes69c362.32$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017652.3%92 W · 84 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No31c360.22$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.5538748.3%187 W · 200 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No31c324.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.157532%24 W · 51 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa71c…e905backed No32c308.72$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.93425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes69c289.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019943.2%86 W · 113 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Yes68c249.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.99977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick48cpaid+75%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No31c231.22$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.551,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Yes68c205.88$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-61.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes70c197$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.910361.2%63 W · 40 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes67c194.03$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1307067.1%47 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Yes67c187.09$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Yes49c181.63$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yes70c178.57$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked No54c164.94$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.875560%33 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes19c160$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.857338.4%28 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Yes68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x388b…25ddbacked Yes69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-44.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No42c144.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0453140.7%216 W · 315 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Yes70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes38c141.76$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4622221.6%48 W · 174 L-34.2wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-50.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x2cb3…78e9backed Yes71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes69c122.87$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.787247.2%34 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes71c119.48$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8348658.6%285 W · 201 L+44.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed No29c119.48$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.834156.1%23 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd121…b0a5backed Yes62c117.98$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No35c105.06$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7281732.8%268 W · 549 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd754…7857backed No31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+60.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes11c99.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Yes60c99.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.94850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes69c95.8$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.16665.2%43 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes50c80.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405032%16 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x277e…259ebacked Yes70c78.57$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+47.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf6e…33d8backed Yes67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+72.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No78c73.76$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.091,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e53…d1fdbacked Yes70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-64%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes55c69.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.534655.5%192 W · 154 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb71…434dbacked Yes55c66.52$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.85261.5%32 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No32c58.05$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5414734.7%51 W · 96 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5460…15b5backed Yes23c55.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes68c54.59$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1263645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e8b…ebb0backed Yes70c51.43$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed No32c47.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.22832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Yes58c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.22733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69e7…7cb7backed No43c34.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8811751.3%60 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked Yes60c33.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+71.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes66c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208366.3%55 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x720c…662ebacked Yes70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes68c29.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205267.3%35 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Yes69c28.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013073.1%95 W · 35 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2600…f0dcbacked Yes70c28.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58f9…cec5backed Yes70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x157a…e4a3backed Yes70c28.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207958.2%46 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Yes69c28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.325855.2%32 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes62c27.91$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3111741.9%49 W · 68 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0c8…e944backed Yes54c27.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4786…7a69backed Yes77c26.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Yes55c24.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7511556.5%65 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Yes61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159068.9%62 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick69cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8a4…e797backed Yes65c24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.63060%18 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes52c23.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.171070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c9f…0e3abacked Yes67c22.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes68c22.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5af3…1534backed Yes69c21.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155966.1%39 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa00…9fe3backed Yes70c21.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc82d…7199backed Yes69c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Yes68c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.63857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ea…4134backed Yes69c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4378…5bb8backed Yes69c19.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ca…029bbacked Yes70c18.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69bd…af6ebacked Yes69c16.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x015c…0477backed Yes68c16.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-40.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5aea…eff2backed Yes71c14.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.091540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9856…7014backed Yes71c14.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.011361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.