Bundesliga · resolved market
RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae1b73104d394b0b7e5415c2db6af7b0a46e1cbc5a427fed0b122d94205e54e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,542 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 10,964$5,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,621.43 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 9,223$4,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,666.38 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 54c | 5,008$2,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,704.32 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.99 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Under | 50c | 3,300$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 2,724$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.29 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 54c | 2,638$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.97 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 46c | 2,535$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.9 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 2,463$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.96 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…1394backed Under | 50c | 2,350$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 52c | 2,300$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.15 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.7wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Over | 49c | 2,300$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.92 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 52c | 2,066$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.12 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 3c | 1,981$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +6.5wins | +0.27per pick | 10cpaid | +187.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Over | 46c | 1,930$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 52c | 1,920$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.57 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 48c | 1,787$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.84 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…ced0backed Over | 50c | 1,699$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 54c | 1,427$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.58 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 52c | 1,235$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.17 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 1,024$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.95 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 44c | 1,000$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 48c | 894.08$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.92 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 48c | 810.15$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.28 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 51c | 807.29$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.72 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Under | 54c | 800$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Over | 47c | 700$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 51c | 699.89$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.94 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 47c | 659$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.81 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Under | 51c | 509.8$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Under | 54c | 472.39$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 46c | 440.87$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.07 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 51c | 439.65$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.22 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 52c | 417.91$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.31 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…0912backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Over | 48c | 399.95$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.97 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +75%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 357.29$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.83 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked Under | 51c | 327.77$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 52c | 263.75$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.15 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 47c | 251.06$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.06 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 46c | 245.74$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 51c | 194.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 49c | 166.67$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.67 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…d06cbacked Over | 51c | 166.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…a3f1backed Over | 48c | 163.54$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Over | 50c | 148.74$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.37 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked Under | 52c | 136.92$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 52c | 115.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 47c | 99.3$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Over | 49c | 99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…1a3cbacked Under | 52c | 97.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 48c | 95.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Over | 47c | 94.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Under | 51c | 85.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 52c | 84.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 16c | 82.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Under | 53c | 75.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 57c | 75.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 54c | 72.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Under | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10b…9885backed Over | 50c | 66.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Over | 45c | 65.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Under | 62c | 65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 48c | 64.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 51c | 60.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…9d51backed Under | 51c | 58.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b92cbacked Under | 54c | 52.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d26bbacked Over | 47c | 52.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 58c | 51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…c5ddbacked Over | 50c | 50.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 57c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…c63cbacked Under | 52c | 48.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Under | 54c | 46.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 51c | 40.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aff…da59backed Under | 54c | 37.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe0…7e78backed Under | 59c | 35.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 52c | 35.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Under | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 47 | 85.1%40 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5this page
- RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 1.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)RB Leipzig won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)RB Leipzig won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.