World Politics · resolved market
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d1ed5cdd7aabd05268b337833c5f78c310abef413be3c32a8d6fcf45ecdbb86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 12,966$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.83 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…fe19backed Yes | 10c | 8,847$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.68 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 11c | 7,068$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.54 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 11c | 5,404$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.94 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…6f7dbacked Yes | 17c | 5,114$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.43 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 11c | 4,394$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7664…2e50backed Yes | 10c | 4,141$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.27 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe460…422abacked Yes | 11c | 3,785$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 10c | 3,731$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.46 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 3,701$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…dad2backed Yes | 2c | 3,326$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 9c | 3,020$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.97 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 12c | 2,875$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.39 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25d4…9b17backed Yes | 12c | 2,480$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…f1edbacked Yes | 11c | 2,100$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…1e88backed Yes | 11c | 2,045$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa80…3aa0backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…b781backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…ef42backed Yes | 11c | 1,958$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 9c | 1,645$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.03 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Yes | 14c | 1,500$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…7652backed Yes | 12c | 1,378$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.37 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…457ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,105$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.55 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44f…6d00backed Yes | 11c | 1,030$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d9…4c5ebacked Yes | 13c | 999.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 11c | 999.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26aa…b107backed Yes | 11c | 950$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 10c | 889.97$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.59 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 9c | 774.61$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea43…828bbacked Yes | 9c | 694.43$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 9c | 607.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d9…5946backed Yes | 7c | 582.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Yes | 10c | 570$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 5c | 554.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2980…2bc5backed Yes | 11c | 515.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…01afbacked Yes | 12c | 499.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…d83dbacked Yes | 13c | 499.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed Yes | 10c | 499.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 12c | 499.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…ee94backed Yes | 13c | 473.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…90dfbacked Yes | 13c | 467.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 10c | 465.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…a201backed Yes | 13c | 460.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7154…6efcbacked Yes | 12c | 431.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 14c | 429.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcc…00c9backed Yes | 18c | 428.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf47…e2b7backed Yes | 12c | 428.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 10c | 413.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 4c | 412.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…ad47backed Yes | 8c | 409.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 8c | 400.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…6b6ebacked Yes | 11c | 399.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe112…3f70backed Yes | 13c | 386.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4e30backed Yes | 14c | 378.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…f5ccbacked Yes | 13c | 371.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x497d…944cbacked Yes | 17c | 356.77$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81d9…76e6backed Yes | 13c | 324.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 4c | 322.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcecd…c518backed Yes | 14c | 320.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9169…e2dabacked Yes | 15c | 313.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x906a…88c6backed Yes | 8c | 312.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 9c | 306.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Yes | 10c | 303.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…732bbacked Yes | 15c | 299.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 10c | 277.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 87 | 16.1%14 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6074…f9f7backed Yes | 18c | 276.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…bf30backed Yes | 4c | 271.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f2…c0ebbacked Yes | 11c | 267.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…f6b5backed Yes | 13c | 264.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 9c | 242.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 11c | 230$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2052…b249backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa25f…a399backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…f8fabacked Yes | 13c | 222.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Yes | 10c | 220$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 219.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x746b…f3e7backed Yes | 13c | 207.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…15eabacked Yes | 12c | 206.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…3bbebacked Yes | 12c | 204$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e6…aaa1backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbedd…58a4backed Yes | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x893b…7949backed Yes | 14c | 183.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c64…8d01backed Yes | 14c | 182.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 12c | 179.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 11c | 175.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f96…d807backed Yes | 11c | 165.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f3…ae51backed No | 80c | 164.6$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…278ebacked Yes | 10c | 147.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 11c | 138$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb333…e295backed Yes | 12c | 131.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…78b5backed Yes | 13c | 131$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 11c | 129.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fed…5c7abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fb…f24cbacked Yes | 13c | 122.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?this page
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?No won
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?No won
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?No won
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?No won
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?No won
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?No won
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?Yes won
- Will another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.