TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,716
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,448

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,716 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes61c8,008$4,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,884.957552%39 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No39c7,686$2,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,688.545046%23 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No56c4,715$2,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,086.121,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No40c4,699$1,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,825.863,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c3,913$1,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,056.575,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c3,225$1,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.98,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked Yes58c2,970$1,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,718.041729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.4wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-55.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5540…0b5fbacked Yes58c2,850$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.261030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes42c2,611$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.7330841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No41c2,553$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.362948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No54c2,468$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.951,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No41c2,116$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.531,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.992766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes53c1,868$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.341,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes49c1,417$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.539562.1%59 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes32c1,413$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.9139127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes57c1,412$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.032,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes43c1,225$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.181,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes42c1,170$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.1328651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes47c1,030$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.16731.3%21 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No64c1,015$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.63785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+38%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Yes55c951.8$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.874955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes35c866.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.813928.2%11 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No44c812.94$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.642,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes64c780.15$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.346955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No41c751.86$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.071,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes45c751.63$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.463650%18 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87ff…6632backed Yes66c666.56$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No72c642.94$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.478740.2%35 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No42c531.38$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.991,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Yes46c526.13$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.95660.7%34 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0542…e195backed Yes38c506.74$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.565832.8%19 W · 39 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No39c503.42$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.381,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Yes58c486.54$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.192951.7%15 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes36c480.8$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.091,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes61c480.3$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.987745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No41c474.66$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.551,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f4…5107backed Yes58c460.58$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.131154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No34c458.65$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.811,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes44c437.08$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.3146530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No53c418.33$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.3716255.6%90 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No54c417.49$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.091,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No49c395.11$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.351,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Yes62c353.21$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.911662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0efb…016cbacked No41c352.9$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.212572%18 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x516f…3dc8backed Yes56c347.15$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.732142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes47c344.02$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.6910155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Yes58c337.08$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9413257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Yes66c293.88$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.9613351.1%68 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No43c275.01$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8621345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c8…a9ffbacked Yes63c268.28$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ef…6d0dbacked Yes36c267.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.162142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Yes36c267.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.163467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5462…fe43backed Yes43c249.11$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.123151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed No43c248.46$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.625962.7%37 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No43c227.45$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.7636757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No58c223.33$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.81,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No42c214.44$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.8717857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No44c203.97$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5119056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…4464backed Yes67c201.69$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c50…89b6backed Yes46c198.37$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.942462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed Yes61c197.65$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1610157.4%58 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3bd…c88dbacked Yes51c188.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.084447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes45c188.21$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.085935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No45c186.68$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.1628158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed No53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1848922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x648f…fc85backed Yes64c181.74$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.192326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes61c179.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.855155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35f7…e63ebacked No55c177.25$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2807…27d5backed Yes45c171.91$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.366020%12 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Yes42c160.87$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.567957%45 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda25…abafbacked Yes61c160.41$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.655867.2%39 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes61c160.19$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6676951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes61c160.1$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.669256.5%52 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff67…a1c9backed Yes65c154.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.745648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed No42c152.29$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.332853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf9…5f13backed No35c151.84$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.692100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick41cpaid+151.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe735…4198backed No39c150$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.51861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x100c…1c2cbacked Yes45c147.08$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No37c146$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7837851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb475…978cbacked Yes44c144.96$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.782245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No37c140.16$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7813828.3%39 W · 99 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked Yes58c139.89$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6114254.9%78 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Yes36c133.56$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.088246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa796…82fdbacked Yes44c129.59$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.022268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x00a1…df06backed Yes29c125.45$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.384454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c50…14dfbacked Yes58c123.58$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.68650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked Yes60c122$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.21442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45dd…7b56backed Yes43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.61936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6c…8fe6backed Yes60c117.15$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7840%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68a2…3a47backed Yes58c116.81$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.75366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x287d…4867backed Yes44c110.42$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.331323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-49.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0577…02ccbacked No39c110$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.12152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked No55c107.25$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.932979.3%23 W · 6 L+6.7wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+40.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Yes46c105.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.389344.1%41 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf57a…bd53backed Yes46c105.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.381952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes66c104.88$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2216534.5%57 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc735…b72abacked Yes42c104.72$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.453240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.512051.7%62 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No62c99.98$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9951654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.