NHL · resolved market

Spread: Kraken (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7471ec74de2357ec9cf7e6c9a99e1e7c38889c3a313539dd5234914b8791a17e

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Blackhawksof Kraken, Blackhawks
Resolved: Apr 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $18,948
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $19,211

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,948 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb7f5…c669backed Kraken	39c	7,472$2,914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,914.17	510	45.5%232 W · 278 L	-9.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Blackhawks	61c	6,398$3,903 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,495.35	120	47.5%57 W · 63 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ff…6632backed Kraken	40c	4,174$1,662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,661.6	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Blackhawks	60c	3,891$2,334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,556.24	594	50.8%302 W · 292 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Blackhawks	63c	2,548$1,593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$954.76	67	58.2%39 W · 28 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kraken	38c	2,176$816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$815.99	2,112	42.9%907 W · 1,205 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Blackhawks	61c	1,030$628 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.69	619	59.1%366 W · 253 L	+17.9wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Blackhawks	62c	803.03$498 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.17	324	51.2%166 W · 158 L	+18.3wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Kraken	26c	661.02$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.88	115	47%54 W · 61 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kraken	39c	495.82$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.37	1,434	50.8%728 W · 706 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Kraken	40c	487.74$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.09	572	38.1%218 W · 354 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Kraken	39c	285.14$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.58	210	36.2%76 W · 134 L	-14.6wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Blackhawks	78c	273.28$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.07	1,431	58.3%834 W · 597 L	+81.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Blackhawks	61c	245$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.55	339	41.3%140 W · 199 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0f…a08abacked Kraken	14c	233.56$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.38	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.3wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x418c…4a41backed Blackhawks	61c	161.14$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.84	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Kraken	24c	158.94$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.73	1,384	47.1%652 W · 732 L	+25.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Blackhawks	73c	150$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.97	823	53.1%437 W · 386 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Blackhawks	60c	125.95$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.38	388	49.5%192 W · 196 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Blackhawks	61c	98.64$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.47	211	55.5%117 W · 94 L	+7.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Blackhawks	61c	98.64$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.47	90	47.8%43 W · 47 L	-6.8wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-14%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Kraken	16c	92.8$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	358	29.3%105 W · 253 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Blackhawks	61c	75.87$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.59	266	57.9%154 W · 112 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Blackhawks	72c	73.38$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.26	1,028	53.2%547 W · 481 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Blackhawks	61c	64.52$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.16	363	49%178 W · 185 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Blackhawks	61c	55.24$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.82	2,754	47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L	+11.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…8b04backed Kraken	40c	48.2$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.28	200	46%92 W · 108 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kraken	31c	46.25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.34	2,664	51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Kraken	39c	43.61$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.01	77	39%30 W · 47 L	-6.6wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-34%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Kraken	35c	39.5$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.88	470	24%113 W · 357 L	-44.6wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Kraken	29c	38.2$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.09	102	60.8%62 W · 40 L	+9.2wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Blackhawks	61c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.7	202	45%91 W · 111 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Blackhawks	61c	23.44$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.14	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-5.5wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x907d…2c9bbacked Blackhawks	61c	23.44$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.14	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc32…32f8backed Blackhawks	62c	21.5$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.17	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Blackhawks	61c	17.58$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.86	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Kraken (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event