NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29f70a6b0cec6dbf63c8cb7506da784df82086dcc9c51933413b2c7a43943728
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 51c | 3,033$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.05 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 2,627$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.43 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 43c | 2,456$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.7 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Over | 57c | 2,281$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.31 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 79c | 795$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.02 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 24c | 753.58$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.47 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 585.28$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.3 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over | 48c | 500$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.83 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 392.4$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.2 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Over | 55c | 359.22$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.65 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Over | 56c | 349.59$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.82 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 45c | 288.93$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.69 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 250.5$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 46c | 158.45$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.59 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 54c | 121.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 40c | 109.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 45c | 62.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 41c | 59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a7…ac65backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 55c | 50.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 32c | 47.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 45c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 57c | 41.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Under | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 43c | 33.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 49c | 32.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 52c | 27.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…4a7cbacked Over | 57c | 27.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…a030backed Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…aad9backed Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeefe…5891backed Over | 54c | 23.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed Under | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf535…06ccbacked Under | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea2…45b7backed Over | 54c | 20.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe191…64afbacked Over | 54c | 19.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x959e…d336backed Over | 54c | 19.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 65c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5this page
- Blackhawks vs. KrakenBlackhawks won
- Blackhawks vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blackhawks vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Under won
- Blackhawks vs. Kraken: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Kraken (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.