MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e27aa803d3da7e76af3f6956ec158c03ad366469c1c210e001b5cdc48b957f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof San Diego Padres, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $254,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $257,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 17,995$9,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,229.39 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 15,000$6,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,649.98 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f8…6699backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 14,960$8,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,676.68 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…1366backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 14,822$6,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,448.36 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 13,723$7,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,184.77 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Boston Red Sox | 15c | 12,556$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.04 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Boston Red Sox | 35c | 11,968$4,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,180.71 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 9,703$4,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,530.94 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 9,184$5,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,234.78 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 9,144$3,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,211.88 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 38c | 9,106$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,439.86 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Boston Red Sox | 30c | 7,983$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked San Diego Padres | 76c | 7,665$5,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.1 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 7,543$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,202.51 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 66c | 6,948$4,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.07 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 6,640$2,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,851.19 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Diego Padres | 62c | 6,612$4,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.67 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 6,348$3,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627.04 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 5,141$2,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,930.64 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 5,045$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,901.27 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Boston Red Sox | 42c | 5,041$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.25 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 5,030$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897.99 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 3,490$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.83 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 3,120$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.92 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 2,678$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.51 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 2,449$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.01 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 2,325$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.24 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 2,289$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.94 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 2,270$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.24 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 2,218$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.78 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd658…ecadbacked Boston Red Sox | 35c | 2,131$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,881$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.19 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked San Diego Padres | 62c | 1,793$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.82 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,761$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.92 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Boston Red Sox | 23c | 1,432$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.9 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…f2f9backed San Diego Padres | 49c | 1,328$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e1…a9cfbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,094$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 1,009$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.42 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Boston Red Sox | 29c | 1,003$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.47 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed San Diego Padres | 76c | 985.6$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 929.23$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.86 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Boston Red Sox | 29c | 909.51$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.09 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 869.29$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.8 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 812.59$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.55 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 812.59$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.55 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 807$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.85 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Boston Red Sox | 24c | 782.18$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.93 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 764.78$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.85 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 751.94$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.69 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Boston Red Sox | 28c | 747.04$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.47 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 729.74$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.49 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…6ac3backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 673.81$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 667.21$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.97 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed San Diego Padres | 73c | 661.32$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.53 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 629.97$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.38 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 611.78$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.75 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…ac7cbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 603.43$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Diego Padres | 76c | 567.86$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.68 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed San Diego Padres | 72c | 565.34$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.35 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 552.23$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.18 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 523.51$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.05 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…0a8cbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 499.96$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.98 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked San Diego Padres | 66c | 496.91$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 495.97$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.62 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 495.15$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Boston Red Sox | 37c | 494.1$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.48 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 494.05$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.01 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 492.95$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.98 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 485.96$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.01 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 471.71$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.37 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 471.23$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.54 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 460.96$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.99 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5169backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 457.65$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.79 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 457.51$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.78 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Boston Red Sox | 35c | 438.94$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.58 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 430.6$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.2 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 426.63$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.38 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked San Diego Padres | 52c | 377.81$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.07 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 370.2$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.01 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d80…331ebacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 357.57$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…7b27backed San Diego Padres | 47c | 351.58$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.38 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Boston Red Sox | 47c | 329.07$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.62 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 328.71$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.94 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Boston Red Sox | 47c | 309$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.23 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 293.35$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.8 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 292.1$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.52 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 287.63$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.07 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Boston Red Sox | 46c | 279.45$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.76 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Boston Red Sox | 35c | 272.78$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.07 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Boston Red Sox | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Boston Red Sox | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 248.42$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 248.42$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x069b…e8afbacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed San Diego Padres | 76c | 235.57$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 231.65$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.36 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 226.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 220$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.