NHL · resolved market
Spread: Stars (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f2b968730df5b88e6fb02cf782c885c328fd14a6283b83a18aa39307facb0da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Stars, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Bruins | 68c | 30,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.99 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Stars | 32c | 15,998$5,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,119.32 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Bruins | 68c | 8,692$5,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,781.44 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Stars | 32c | 8,579$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.31 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 32c | 5,218$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.4 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Stars | 32c | 4,885$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.27 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Stars | 32c | 2,417$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.5 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Bruins | 68c | 1,310$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.3 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Stars | 32c | 790.38$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.92 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Stars | 12c | 402$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stars | 31c | 310.58$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Stars | 32c | 281.9$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.11 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Stars | 29c | 208.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Bruins | 68c | 194.19$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…c0c2backed Stars | 32c | 153.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 50cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stars | 31c | 147.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Bruins | 71c | 110.72$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x492d…2f04backed Stars | 32c | 109.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bruins | 67c | 104.42$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Stars | 14c | 102$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c6…9808backed Bruins | 69c | 82.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Stars | 27c | 75.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ef…8036backed Bruins | 69c | 73.62$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Bruins | 69c | 72.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bruins | 78c | 72.05$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Stars | 16c | 64.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Bruins | 75c | 61.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Bruins | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Stars | 32c | 53.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…f541backed Stars | 32c | 51.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Bruins | 69c | 49.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…8b04backed Stars | 32c | 44.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Bruins | 71c | 38.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…9341backed Stars | 32c | 38.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Stars | 30c | 38.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Bruins | 68c | 35.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…df70backed Stars | 33c | 34.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e1c5backed Bruins | 69c | 34.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Bruins | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Bruins | 69c | 29.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Bruins | 71c | 27.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Bruins | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Bruins | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc931…7d46backed Bruins | 69c | 20.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Bruins | 69c | 20.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Bruins | 70c | 19.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a9…7876backed Bruins | 69c | 19.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)this page
- Stars vs. BruinsBruins won
- Stars vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Stars vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Stars vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Stars vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.