NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fc6b88ed6cd2a016fa1ebe19005c4b960ba7520d2b2741f069cd6a2aa06968c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 54c | 6,231$3,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,364.7 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 46c | 5,979$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,228.1 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 16c | 2,068$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.69 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 17c | 755.84$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.59 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 43c | 753.92$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.44 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under | 14c | 747.93$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.71 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 67c | 725.24$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.55 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 12c | 709.8$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.93 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 36c | 494$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.35 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 47c | 447.04$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.97 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 56c | 437.95$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.7 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 76c | 406.59$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 47c | 403.72$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.97 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 218.56$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.84 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Under | 35c | 177$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Over | 45c | 146.55$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 37c | 136$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…80a0backed Under | 55c | 115.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 35c | 108.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 285 | 42.8%122 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 92.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 59c | 89.59$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 42c | 87.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 41c | 85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 66c | 75.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 45c | 71.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 39c | 61.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 47c | 58.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 56c | 36.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…26a3backed Over | 44c | 35.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 30.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…f6b9backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 33c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 46c | 29.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Under | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Bruins won
- Stars vs. BruinsBruins won
- Stars vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Stars vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Stars vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.