Fifa International · resolved market
Will Hungary win on 2026-03-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x662d2c6a0c8ad4292db3d88d8c877e87cfb7f5464b6b3634a8e45af1addeffc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 9,923$6,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,027.14 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 25c | 8,319$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.83 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 40c | 7,827$3,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,107.91 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 60c | 7,246$4,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.06 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 4,404$2,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.13 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 40c | 3,226$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.95 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 65c | 3,118$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 32c | 2,967$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.57 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd227…1c59backed Yes | 25c | 2,659$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 70c | 2,577$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.82 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 2,485$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.7 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 36c | 1,915$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.4 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 71c | 1,636$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.26 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…1050backed Yes | 41c | 1,219$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 39c | 1,144$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.1 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 64c | 1,055$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.95 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 987.66$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.86 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 60c | 980$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 64c | 943.95$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.48 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 60c | 888.4$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.59 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Yes | 39c | 835.39$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 63c | 822.24$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.23 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 60c | 764.16$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.09 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 77c | 685.97$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.07 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41b…321dbacked Yes | 29c | 662.53$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 71c | 641.75$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 37c | 620$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.4 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 38c | 616.53$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.28 | 171 | 48.5%83 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…f90dbacked Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 10c | 450$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…0a59backed Yes | 31c | 402.95$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 33c | 375.44$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 41c | 333.33$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.58 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 31c | 318.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…7e68backed Yes | 37c | 309$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.33 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 66c | 305.24$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.54 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b41…764cbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked No | 67c | 301.45$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4edb…b4a2backed Yes | 38c | 290.01$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed No | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…b53abacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 61c | 277.23$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.49 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 70c | 271.26$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.83 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked No | 67c | 266.81$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.38 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 35c | 263$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 62c | 261.24$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Yes | 39c | 258.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 70c | 252.07$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 63c | 240.62$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.14 | 285 | 45.3%129 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 59c | 230.33$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 40c | 230.15$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.42 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 36c | 228.63$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 29c | 224.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 68c | 218.16$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 32c | 214$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Yes | 38c | 212.66$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.81 | 190 | 62.6%119 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 66c | 209.08$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.16 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80fe…f7adbacked Yes | 28c | 198.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…61d1backed No | 61c | 178.29$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Yes | 40c | 173.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…a103backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 14c | 170.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 31c | 166$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 60c | 164.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 60c | 163.22$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 64c | 159.7$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…ac03backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 63c | 157.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 152.77$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Yes | 40c | 152.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…0927backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +229.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 65c | 148.75$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 61c | 147.11$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 40c | 146$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked No | 80c | 142.95$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…b063backed Yes | 41c | 140.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b4…2a39backed Yes | 38c | 139.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed No | 60c | 135.72$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.97 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 69c | 125.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae72…4a8fbacked Yes | 41c | 125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8989…d595backed Yes | 41c | 123$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 60c | 122.76$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…1bf2backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 37c | 120.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ee…281bbacked Yes | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 30c | 119.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…e7c2backed Yes | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 165 | 35.2%58 W · 107 L | +15.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Yes | 28c | 106.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…f541backed Yes | 38c | 105$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 27c | 104.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 181 | 28.2%51 W · 130 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 30c | 100.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hungary win on 2026-03-31?this page
- Will Greece win on 2026-03-31?No won
- Will Hungary vs. Greece end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.