TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Greece win on 2026-03-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,644
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,990

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,644 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No67c7,131$4,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,353.9235942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes29c4,036$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.373,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3fa…cdb2backed Yes35c2,942$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.96656.1%37 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c2,723$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.894,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes37c1,415$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.45832.8%19 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaac8…0274backed Yes36c1,392$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-57.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No62c1,333$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.7936850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No65c1,137$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.0976048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Yes37c949.01$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.136533.8%22 W · 43 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-33.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No64c623.59$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.483,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes34c574.01$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.6974034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No66c519.62$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.523,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes38c515$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.3516341.1%67 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes37c500$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18754917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes33c487$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.67924.1%19 W · 60 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No64c423.08$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.663,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes34c351.54$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.521,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes32c351.23$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.6541451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes33c334.58$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9140736.6%149 W · 258 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x143c…88b9backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d49…0d46backed Yes36c275$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bfc…18e3backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes26c255.31$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.382045%9 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes32c233.38$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.682,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47d1…7618backed No65c230.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.774883.3%40 W · 8 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+16.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No65c222.05$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7637144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1236…78bebacked Yes33c204$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No68c198.3$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0928754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No66c189.98$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4186455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes10c183.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7542043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Yes37c172.73$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.412552%13 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes28c168.96$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.632,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xfedc…61d1backed No66c167.84$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.59855.1%54 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed No63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.733852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes38c155.6$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7217158.5%100 W · 71 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d77…bc86backed No65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.854881.3%39 W · 9 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick70cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No66c152.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.61,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x396c…f8aabacked Yes13c149.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No65c149$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.711,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81ba…a1e4backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503542.9%15 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+0.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes29c138.6$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6345947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes38c131.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509140.7%37 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe36f…3165backed Yes35c130$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes25c128.03$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7416116.8%27 W · 134 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes33c127.67$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5945039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes29c120.69$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5750850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x586c…a188backed No65c113.55$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.37475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes30c111.85$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0343835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No66c105.72$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.616755.1%92 W · 75 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No64c103.29$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.81,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes35c101.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes26c101.23$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.218628.5%53 W · 133 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329842.9%42 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.034839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed No65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9757…9191backed Yes32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8919…0688backed Yes38c90.08$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.234854.2%26 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa264…b063backed Yes32c84.38$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011631.9%37 W · 79 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40a1…f18ebacked Yes35c79.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd082…1375backed Yes35c77.14$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No65c75.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5890840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No65c75.83$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5411658.6%68 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258838.6%34 W · 54 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No65c73$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5555045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49af…219dbacked Yes35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254934.7%17 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No64c71.35$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9924653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No65c65.27$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7843653.7%234 W · 202 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No68c65.04$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.817160.6%43 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d17…55f1backed Yes23c65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc8…fad4backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c89…3202backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8db0…5e63backed No66c54$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.36475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+136.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aba…7b0cbacked Yes25c51.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132548%12 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1720050%100 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910436.5%38 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Yes29c48.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.285962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No64c45.77$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.344,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba4a…b5f2backed Yes33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153050%15 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2cb…126cbacked No66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.454461.4%27 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Yes29c45.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.353641.7%15 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…2924backed Yes35c42.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.922142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes26c41.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.777757.1%44 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Yes32c40.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.225761.4%35 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd421…8531backed Yes37c37.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.141546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8525…0dc3backed No77c37.66$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.661560%9 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No68c37.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8227745.1%125 W · 152 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No67c36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8818452.7%97 W · 87 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Yes30c35.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.756237.1%23 W · 39 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9e8…bea5backed Yes36c35.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes36c34.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.479254.3%50 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Yes35c33.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5620156.2%113 W · 88 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No68c31.15$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9821953.4%117 W · 102 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes35c30.27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4732855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c36…e462backed Yes34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.27345.2%33 W · 40 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No65c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.55464.8%35 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x741b…4a79backed No66c27.48$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.34862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabe2…7f9fbacked No66c27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+31.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa7…c3b5backed No68c26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.32650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d6a…8be9backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.