Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Rio Ave FC vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf259928c115aa42043ec63806ad8acb7bfb2be74c6a43e6f165387d8692dd990
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5358…4503backed No | 71c | 2,790$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 1,326$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.09 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 19c | 887.12$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.27 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 20c | 653$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.6 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 586.21$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.86 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 23c | 414.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 350$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 213.33$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 11c | 193.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 23c | 126.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 29c | 114.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 77c | 102.46$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 29c | 100.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 29c | 95.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 92.1$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 29c | 91.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1d…2e6abacked Yes | 29c | 70.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 70c | 66.53$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Yes | 29c | 66.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 29c | 66.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 71c | 65.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…f541backed Yes | 29c | 64.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…ebeebacked No | 78c | 64.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 70c | 59.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 29c | 50.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Yes | 29c | 50.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes | 29c | 50.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Yes | 29c | 50.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 28c | 50.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 24c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 29c | 40.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 37.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Yes | 29c | 37.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed No | 70c | 34.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…bb75backed No | 72c | 29.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked No | 72c | 28.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 28 | 89.3%25 W · 3 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 72c | 23.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rio Ave FC vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Alverca win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
- Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.