Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x502d573bc2aaf25d723d74dede1a4274f7e25a0fed25809228c01eded59a8866
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 9c | 451.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 4c | 357.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 35c | 310.25$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.39 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 36c | 193.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 39c | 149.9$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 65c | 93.06$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked No | 61c | 78.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 68.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 65.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed No | 74c | 65.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 33c | 47.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…5f50backed No | 63c | 45.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 45.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 79c | 38.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 36c | 38.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 61c | 37.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked No | 80c | 34.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 80c | 34.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 35c | 33.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 63c | 25.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…18f9backed No | 67c | 21.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 62c | 21.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked No | 66c | 20.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 68c | 19.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 67c | 17.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked No | 67c | 17.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed No | 67c | 17.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed No | 61c | 17.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 65c | 16.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 65c | 16.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked No | 65c | 16.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed No | 65c | 16.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed No | 65c | 16.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 65c | 16.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 65c | 16.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will FC Alverca win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
- Will Rio Ave FC vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.