Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Alverca win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07046bb898fab974fdce893391f5b0e14925b489cefbb008e0c64a0fbb5fce14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 74c | 1,956$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.97 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 1,692$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.17 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked No | 27c | 1,614$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.87 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 19c | 1,223$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.61 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 17c | 898.09$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.24 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 38c | 563.15$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.16 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 35c | 549.3$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.11 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 75c | 382.92$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.09 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked No | 22c | 361.25$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.59 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 80c | 354.84$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 65c | 242.05$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.5 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 17c | 150.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 150.03$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Yes | 36c | 132.84$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.49 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 12c | 132.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…4533backed No | 15c | 126.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 36c | 125.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.01 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 26c | 124.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 16c | 111.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 73c | 105.58$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes | 78c | 104.4$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes | 76c | 99.08$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 64c | 97.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 15c | 91.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 70c | 85.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 70c | 83.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 83.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 37c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 73c | 76.21$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 73c | 76.21$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Yes | 73c | 76.21$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed No | 18c | 74.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 67c | 73.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Yes | 67c | 62.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 73c | 62.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 61c | 61.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 17c | 60.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 37c | 56.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 70c | 56.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Yes | 77c | 54.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 38c | 49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 63c | 44.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Yes | 60c | 40.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 76c | 38.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 35c | 33.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Yes | 76c | 33.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Yes | 73c | 33.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Yes | 75c | 32.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Yes | 79c | 32.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked Yes | 75c | 31.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 69c | 29.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 69c | 29.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed No | 64c | 29.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb38…f78dbacked Yes | 73c | 27.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Yes | 73c | 23.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 74c | 19.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Yes | 73c | 19.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 67c | 16.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…13a3backed Yes | 80c | 15.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Alverca win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Rio Ave FC vs. FC Alverca end in a draw?No won
- Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.