TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Georgia State Panthers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Old Dominion Monarchsof Old Dominion Monarchs, Georgia State Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,086
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,832

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,086 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Georgia State Panthers47c2,222$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.342,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Georgia State Panthers48c1,702$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.313,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Old Dominion Monarchs47c1,652$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.135,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Georgia State Panthers17c1,488$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.534,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Old Dominion Monarchs53c1,252$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.43666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Old Dominion Monarchs53c999.99$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47027947.3%132 W · 147 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Old Dominion Monarchs52c862.21$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.861,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Old Dominion Monarchs52c812.84$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.31,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Old Dominion Monarchs52c719.27$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.251,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Georgia State Panthers47c672.09$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.881,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Old Dominion Monarchs53c613.25$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.233250%16 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Old Dominion Monarchs61c514.27$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.471,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Georgia State Panthers47c485.1$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9979448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed Georgia State Panthers47c386.6$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.76740.3%27 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Old Dominion Monarchs53c374.07$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.812268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+43.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Georgia State Panthers47c368.85$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.3655840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Georgia State Panthers63c322.94$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.752,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Georgia State Panthers30c314.54$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.33,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Georgia State Panthers47c299.91$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.292,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Georgia State Panthers15c298.94$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8442934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Georgia State Panthers47c288.97$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8292246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Georgia State Panthers47c276.56$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9821937.4%82 W · 137 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Old Dominion Monarchs50c269$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.572248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Georgia State Panthers43c238.82$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.062,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Old Dominion Monarchs52c218.08$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6811252.7%59 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Georgia State Panthers47c210.91$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1324847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Old Dominion Monarchs69c205.59$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.34,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Georgia State Panthers49c198.25$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.141,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Georgia State Panthers34c188.92$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.421,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Old Dominion Monarchs52c188.88$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7511844.1%52 W · 66 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Georgia State Panthers45c175.3$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4777142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fea…9bdbbacked Old Dominion Monarchs53c168.33$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.121435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Georgia State Panthers48c165.21$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.31,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2344…3dbebacked Old Dominion Monarchs53c130.92$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.532755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Georgia State Panthers48c120.87$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0210753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Georgia State Panthers48c118.97$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1150745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Georgia State Panthers16c114.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7994036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Georgia State Panthers49c101.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5683350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc90d…e7d6backed Georgia State Panthers49c101.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.561662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Georgia State Panthers48c99.38$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.714546.9%68 W · 77 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Old Dominion Monarchs54c99.13$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.638351.7%198 W · 185 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a38…81abbacked Georgia State Panthers50c99.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.564959.2%29 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7baf…4acabacked Old Dominion Monarchs52c95.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.751637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Old Dominion Monarchs77c86.6$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7970349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Georgia State Panthers47c85.1$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Georgia State Panthers37c79.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.362,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Old Dominion Monarchs42c79.32$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Georgia State Panthers19c79.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.964647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Old Dominion Monarchs68c64.23$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5171655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…2e74backed Old Dominion Monarchs52c63.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4219860.1%119 W · 79 L+15.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd046…c496backed Georgia State Panthers48c61.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7410034%34 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed Georgia State Panthers47c61.16$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.753948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Old Dominion Monarchs52c55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.443053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Georgia State Panthers23c49.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.561,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Old Dominion Monarchs52c49.56$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7985248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6483…750abacked Georgia State Panthers48c49.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.798834.1%30 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…3a2abacked Old Dominion Monarchs61c39.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.472548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Old Dominion Monarchs53c39.48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5617661.4%108 W · 68 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Old Dominion Monarchs52c38.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.393447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Georgia State Panthers43c37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.821,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Old Dominion Monarchs69c36.39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3511552.2%60 W · 55 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49f5…4e04backed Old Dominion Monarchs69c28.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.924673.9%34 W · 12 L+7.6wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+40.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Old Dominion Monarchs52c25.77$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3717945.8%82 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Old Dominion Monarchs50c20.82$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4135852%186 W · 172 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Old Dominion Monarchs53c20.55$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6630649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Georgia State Panthers65c15.57$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1264658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.