TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: 1win vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CCT Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
1winof 1win, paiN Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,679

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,679 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbb64…bfdcbacked 1win50c7,645$3,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,843.4123653%125 W · 111 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed paiN Gaming50c4,321$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160.52755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked paiN Gaming1c1,400$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1460%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab1…9b4fbacked paiN Gaming51c1,197$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.128048.8%39 W · 41 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80ef…3973backed paiN Gaming1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed 1win51c849.4$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.686033.3%20 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed paiN Gaming50c500.5$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.256744.8%30 W · 37 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed paiN Gaming50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed paiN Gaming50c488$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2444450%22 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x597d…b97dbacked 1win43c487.11$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.2120738.6%80 W · 127 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 1win49c421$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.711,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed paiN Gaming57c414.93$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.5122647.3%107 W · 119 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed 1win49c405.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.4414849.3%73 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d03…9a41backed 1win62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.223050.9%117 W · 113 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked paiN Gaming51c393.48$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004452.3%23 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 1win66c332.13$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.432,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed paiN Gaming51c306.41$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2711947.1%56 W · 63 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed paiN Gaming50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503447.1%16 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed paiN Gaming49c296.17$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14418954%102 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7820…0b73backed paiN Gaming51c262.75$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1348957.3%51 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked 1win48c217.29$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9918746.5%87 W · 100 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed paiN Gaming33c214.56$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.277143.7%31 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 1win49c207.75$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3660542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed paiN Gaming50c206$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1032552%13 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed 1win49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd15e…db59backed paiN Gaming51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011845.8%54 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb27d…8696backed 1win49c184$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked 1win51c180$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.225348.6%123 W · 130 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24eb…75eebacked 1win46c175.88$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.145251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked paiN Gaming50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.87657.9%44 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked paiN Gaming50c158.64$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.323351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d8d…674fbacked paiN Gaming51c155$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7db8…bbcebacked paiN Gaming52c152.56$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked paiN Gaming50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7570236.6%257 W · 445 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked 1win50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7570052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed paiN Gaming36c147.31$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0546649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed paiN Gaming54c139.95$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8151751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked paiN Gaming48c134.5$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.568248.8%40 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked paiN Gaming53c124.06$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.047565.3%49 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9332…a3dbbacked paiN Gaming32c123.45$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4076048.6%369 W · 391 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed 1win50c116.2$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2218739%73 W · 114 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea7…1be7backed paiN Gaming50c111.23$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.41771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f6d…1a65backed paiN Gaming50c106.16$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c77…6747backed paiN Gaming54c104.13$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.234314%6 W · 37 L-9.2wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-73.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed 1win50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5050247.6%239 W · 263 L+31.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x850b…5493backed paiN Gaming53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked 1win45c99.97$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9822845.6%104 W · 124 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2bea…eae2backed 1win53c97.71$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40fc…498dbacked paiN Gaming51c96.08$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win54c95.76$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.62,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc2…7ed7backed paiN Gaming55c91.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x672d…dbd7backed paiN Gaming55c90.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040047.5%190 W · 210 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…9541backed 1win47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.113100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed paiN Gaming48c80.66$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5466662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6c6a…c76abacked paiN Gaming54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3f1…eac1backed paiN Gaming51c73$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fb2…eb78backed paiN Gaming50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked 1win72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4435461.3%217 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed 1win46c68.47$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.741,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed paiN Gaming53c68$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.044748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd041…f037backed paiN Gaming51c67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed paiN Gaming54c64.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3534045.9%156 W · 184 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed paiN Gaming52c62.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.51520%3 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-56.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed 1win43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.226050.4%131 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc093…de0ebacked 1win45c57.67$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.723438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefff…2d98backed paiN Gaming54c55.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016445.7%75 W · 89 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf58…711fbacked paiN Gaming49c54.43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.674645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked paiN Gaming56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3091356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf0…4046backed 1win75c52$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed 1win45c51.53$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3450832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7baf…4acabacked 1win49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.022100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5043…c922backed paiN Gaming45c49.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.39229.1%2 W · 20 L-7.4wins-0.34per pick43cpaid-82.5%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed paiN Gaming30c48.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6878516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x256e…1867backed paiN Gaming52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc90d…e7d6backed paiN Gaming53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40c8…9322backed paiN Gaming51c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed paiN Gaming50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202055%11 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked 1win44c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.314962.4%93 W · 56 L+21.8wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked paiN Gaming56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.48056.3%45 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked paiN Gaming49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.612568%85 W · 40 L+12.7wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked paiN Gaming51c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.893852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f4…59eabacked 1win30c38.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.732030%6 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick19cpaid+47.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1fa…f3bebacked paiN Gaming54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013450.7%68 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked 1win51c36.52$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.931251.3%160 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06d9…7cfbbacked paiN Gaming56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020151.2%103 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbda…8bd5backed paiN Gaming51c32.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6813259.8%79 W · 53 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed 1win48c31.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6871342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78c8…9290backed paiN Gaming56c26.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87a1…1472backed 1win46c26.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed 1win48c23.43$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.071,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed 1win66c22.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.688660.5%52 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed paiN Gaming50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0caa…b2bdbacked paiN Gaming52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4114762.6%92 W · 55 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked 1win73c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0544474.8%332 W · 112 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.