Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe096c0cbfb568ce8f2288b86a4e6d055510bf26896c47bb1bde45d199d0f3b80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof 1win, paiN Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,790 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf99e…4d03backed paiN Gaming | 1c | 7,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed 1win | 32c | 5,092$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,442.99 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed paiN Gaming | 1c | 5,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked paiN Gaming | 2c | 4,400$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed paiN Gaming | 51c | 3,490$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.89 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked 1win | 47c | 2,603$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked paiN Gaming | 44c | 1,341$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.72 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed paiN Gaming | 54c | 1,004$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.79 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed paiN Gaming | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed paiN Gaming | 1c | 936.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 16cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed 1win | 49c | 864.9$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.99 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed paiN Gaming | 65c | 845.3$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.43 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 1win | 27c | 776.51$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.17 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed paiN Gaming | 54c | 765.58$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.73 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…bda6backed 1win | 30c | 649.42$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed paiN Gaming | 52c | 644.23$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked 1win | 54c | 629.63$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.63 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed paiN Gaming | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked 1win | 59c | 386.76$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.29 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked 1win | 45c | 373$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.65 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed 1win | 23c | 361.29$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.29 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1win | 39c | 359.31$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.52 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked paiN Gaming | 60c | 338.33$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed paiN Gaming | 51c | 269.62$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.6 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed paiN Gaming | 19c | 262$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126a…2e3ebacked 1win | 48c | 227.84$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.78 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked 1win | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed 1win | 69c | 209.25$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.87 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed paiN Gaming | 16c | 207$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked 1win | 49c | 204.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.43 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed paiN Gaming | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +15.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked 1win | 55c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.77 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked paiN Gaming | 12c | 187$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed paiN Gaming | 14c | 182$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked paiN Gaming | 14c | 162$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed 1win | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed paiN Gaming | 31c | 140$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…3855backed paiN Gaming | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win | 31c | 116.49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.48 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked 1win | 14c | 116.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.88 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed paiN Gaming | 63c | 82.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed 1win | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed paiN Gaming | 67c | 70.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x256e…1867backed 1win | 49c | 51.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked 1win | 35c | 39.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed 1win | 47c | 37.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 1win | 29c | 36.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed paiN Gaming | 54c | 35.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed 1win | 38c | 30.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed paiN Gaming | 64c | 30.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e76…95cdbacked paiN Gaming | 42c | 29.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked paiN Gaming | 43c | 27.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed 1win | 68c | 27.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked paiN Gaming | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked paiN Gaming | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…4089backed paiN Gaming | 58c | 20.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2f…1bffbacked paiN Gaming | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked paiN Gaming | 63c | 19.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CCT Playoffs1win won
- Dota 2: 1win vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner1win won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.