CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd983b0ee1b92d8d60ddaff2c5ec5ec8357d3c93956443917c39785f2833e884
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ECSTATICof CYBERSHOKE Esports, ECSTATIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,518 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 44c | 11,764$5,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,189.07 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ECSTATIC | 56c | 10,009$5,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,403.52 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 2c | 1,050$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed ECSTATIC | 57c | 848.61$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.48 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 47c | 826.58$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.49 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ECSTATIC | 68c | 679.76$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.08 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 50c | 630.84$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.77 | 275 | 30.9%85 W · 190 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 48c | 617.81$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.67 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed ECSTATIC | 54c | 422.98$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.47 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed ECSTATIC | 52c | 380.93$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.93 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed ECSTATIC | 53c | 378.42$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.86 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 48c | 367$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.16 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 53c | 290$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ECSTATIC | 70c | 270.95$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked ECSTATIC | 54c | 254$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.84 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed ECSTATIC | 53c | 253.21$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.01 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 26c | 250.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed ECSTATIC | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked ECSTATIC | 53c | 189.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.02 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ECSTATIC | 55c | 165.38$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed ECSTATIC | 51c | 162.55$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.22 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ECSTATIC | 56c | 142.8$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ECSTATIC | 47c | 140.91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 48c | 138.24$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked ECSTATIC | 51c | 130$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked ECSTATIC | 53c | 122.52$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…4acabacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 49c | 122.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fde…1c3cbacked ECSTATIC | 53c | 113.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…e7d6backed ECSTATIC | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 50c | 100.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e7…c2f0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 50c | 100.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed ECSTATIC | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed ECSTATIC | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed ECSTATIC | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed ECSTATIC | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked ECSTATIC | 50c | 59.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 49c | 58.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked ECSTATIC | 52c | 58.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 48c | 54.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee75…f59abacked ECSTATIC | 60c | 48.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked ECSTATIC | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed ECSTATIC | 61c | 43.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 36c | 41.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c68…177dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 49c | 40.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f4…ba36backed ECSTATIC | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc38…bfd8backed ECSTATIC | 52c | 40.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked ECSTATIC | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed ECSTATIC | 50c | 39.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…7cfabacked ECSTATIC | 52c | 39.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed ECSTATIC | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac3…0058backed ECSTATIC | 61c | 36.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed ECSTATIC | 55c | 28.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed ECSTATIC | 52c | 28.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed ECSTATIC | 51c | 28.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed ECSTATIC | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed ECSTATIC | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ECSTATIC | 69c | 24.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked ECSTATIC | 52c | 22.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked ECSTATIC | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ECSTATIC - Map 1 WinnerECSTATIC won
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ECSTATIC - Map 2 WinnerECSTATIC won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ECS (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+1.5)ECSTATIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.