CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: ECS (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb31af240ced857e111b6825ba5a37962d782f1aead3584ce20cf3c2c5d49093f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ECSTATICof ECSTATIC, CYBERSHOKE Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,588 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39b2…0ca7backed ECSTATIC | 35c | 5,217$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,384.35 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb03a…ceddbacked ECSTATIC | 36c | 3,513$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.46 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 64c | 1,891$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 66c | 1,660$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…d461backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 64c | 1,407$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.32 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ECSTATIC | 34c | 1,222$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.81 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked ECSTATIC | 34c | 1,005$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.27 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 64c | 593.25$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.68 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 65c | 461.69$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…9404backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 65c | 212.38$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 66c | 212.12$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…c98abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 64c | 151.69$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed ECSTATIC | 37c | 116.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47b8…76f2backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 62c | 107.09$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed ECSTATIC | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x893a…37debacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 65c | 93.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.47 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…2e0dbacked ECSTATIC | 35c | 90.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.02 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed ECSTATIC | 36c | 75.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 65c | 67.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ECSTATIC | 35c | 52.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked ECSTATIC | 43c | 42.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed ECSTATIC | 36c | 36.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9241…41a5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 63c | 32.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 70c | 31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…fd8fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 63c | 30.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 67c | 25.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: ECS (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsECSTATIC won
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ECSTATIC - Map 1 WinnerECSTATIC won
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ECSTATIC - Map 2 WinnerECSTATIC won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.