CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ECSTATIC - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe578be65d82bbb22b4731149c5b7b84d5bcd380fb87e433f29d3f744e20c5643
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ECSTATICof CYBERSHOKE Esports, ECSTATIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,539 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 28c | 12,892$3,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,596.79 | 157 | 60.5%95 W · 62 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ECSTATIC | 79c | 10,074$7,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.54 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 22c | 2,386$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.53 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed ECSTATIC | 75c | 1,881$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.69 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 15c | 1,570$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.03 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ECSTATIC | 57c | 1,043$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.1 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed ECSTATIC | 59c | 994.44$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.72 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…0ca7backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 52c | 805$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.65 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed ECSTATIC | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked ECSTATIC | 67c | 677.17$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.94 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed ECSTATIC | 61c | 527.8$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.8 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed ECSTATIC | 62c | 503.26$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.61 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked ECSTATIC | 70c | 500$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.4 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ECSTATIC | 43c | 211.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.55 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 25c | 48.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed ECSTATIC | 46c | 37.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked ECSTATIC | 56c | 26.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ECSTATIC - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsECSTATIC won
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ECSTATIC - Map 1 WinnerECSTATIC won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ECS (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+1.5)ECSTATIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.