Tennis · resolved market
Santiago: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Daniel Galan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9363db8bd2260603c3414ce56a410e34d575b941f10d923bd08701193bb0f69c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diego Dedura-Palomeroof Diego Dedura-Palomero, Daniel Galan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,249 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Daniel Galan | 14c | 8,543$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.04 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…f7f1backed Daniel Galan | 48c | 7,061$3,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.44 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 78c | 1,728$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.43 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Daniel Galan | 18c | 1,224$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.22 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Daniel Galan | 23c | 1,197$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.8 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e9…390ebacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 59c | 999$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.59 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 48c | 696.42$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.66 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…623bbacked Daniel Galan | 54c | 618.85$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 80c | 611.02$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 36c | 555.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.77 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 991 | 39.9%395 W · 596 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Daniel Galan | 65c | 447.83$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…e3cfbacked Daniel Galan | 65c | 386.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 45c | 330.98$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.58 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Daniel Galan | 23c | 305.12$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.96 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec0…40dabacked Daniel Galan | 51c | 292.02$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.93 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bd…4c63backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 53c | 285$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.65 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0e…bb40backed Daniel Galan | 12c | 283.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Daniel Galan | 58c | 279.83$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.44 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Daniel Galan | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Daniel Galan | 25c | 226.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 329 | 37.4%123 W · 206 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 45c | 222.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.49 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 75c | 211.46$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 38c | 199.16$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.16 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Daniel Galan | 54c | 197.8$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.42 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Daniel Galan | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 46c | 147.56$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…f4cabacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 35c | 146.57$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.57 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 50c | 145.18$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.59 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Daniel Galan | 50c | 143$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.01 | 866 | 47.9%415 W · 451 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2818…04a2backed Daniel Galan | 72c | 139.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 48c | 139.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.54 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Daniel Galan | 29c | 132.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 44c | 123.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.14 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 39c | 117.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 47c | 110.8$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Daniel Galan | 57c | 109.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…4acabacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 46c | 108.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5c9fbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 44c | 104.68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Daniel Galan | 14c | 104.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Daniel Galan | 58c | 102.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Daniel Galan | 48c | 97.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…e7d6backed Daniel Galan | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xabb9…6da4backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 57c | 84.79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 47c | 74.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Daniel Galan | 54c | 62.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Daniel Galan | 51c | 57.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…15f7backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 50c | 54.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb344…2850backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 47c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Daniel Galan | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 63c | 47.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Daniel Galan | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 46c | 34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf2…a4acbacked Daniel Galan | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…43e2backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 185 | 41.1%76 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ec…23d3backed Daniel Galan | 60c | 30.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Daniel Galan | 50c | 29.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Daniel Galan | 38c | 29.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 50c | 26.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…d302backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd0…31c9backed Daniel Galan | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Daniel Galan | 53c | 20.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8161…e08ebacked Daniel Galan | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Daniel Galan | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1031…e5bdbacked Daniel Galan | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…513ebacked Daniel Galan | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 77c | 14.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.