Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Siena Saints vs. Fairfield Stags
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd94fe6c47e253f9124e586dcaddab8354c93742123965efcf045a2338e40f329
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fairfield Stagsof Siena Saints, Fairfield Stags
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Fairfield Stags | 48c | 5,082$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.82 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Fairfield Stags | 50c | 4,999$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.13 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Siena Saints | 52c | 4,138$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.51 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Siena Saints | 50c | 2,881$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.56 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Siena Saints | 53c | 2,200$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.99 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Siena Saints | 53c | 2,122$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.52 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Fairfield Stags | 48c | 2,037$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.26 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Siena Saints | 52c | 1,114$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.21 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Fairfield Stags | 48c | 899.28$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.63 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Siena Saints | 49c | 793.88$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Siena Saints | 16c | 634$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.08 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Fairfield Stags | 51c | 623.08$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.88 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Siena Saints | 47c | 553.39$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.3 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Siena Saints | 4c | 532.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Siena Saints | 51c | 517.42$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.83 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Siena Saints | 16c | 496.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Fairfield Stags | 70c | 421.67$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.1 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Siena Saints | 50c | 407.4$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.7 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Siena Saints | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Siena Saints | 52c | 362.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.76 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Siena Saints | 50c | 350.44$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.46 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Siena Saints | 24c | 331.21$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.49 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fairfield Stags | 50c | 297.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.58 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Fairfield Stags | 50c | 263.47$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.78 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Fairfield Stags | 75c | 248.22$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Fairfield Stags | 77c | 242.47$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Fairfield Stags | 48c | 206.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fairfield Stags | 68c | 203.15$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Fairfield Stags | 48c | 198.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.09 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60eb…1df1backed Fairfield Stags | 48c | 198.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Siena Saints | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Fairfield Stags | 75c | 193.79$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Fairfield Stags | 48c | 193.68$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.72 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Siena Saints | 50c | 159.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Siena Saints | 50c | 158.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.27 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Fairfield Stags | 50c | 157.74$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…e488backed Fairfield Stags | 48c | 144.56$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.17 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…7824backed Siena Saints | 53c | 130.92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Siena Saints | 49c | 118.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Fairfield Stags | 79c | 118.58$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Siena Saints | 51c | 116.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Siena Saints | 53c | 112.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Fairfield Stags | 47c | 105.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Fairfield Stags | 48c | 103.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…e7d6backed Fairfield Stags | 48c | 103.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Siena Saints | 51c | 99.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Fairfield Stags | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…4acabacked Siena Saints | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Siena Saints | 49c | 89.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Fairfield Stags | 47c | 88.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Fairfield Stags | 48c | 88.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Fairfield Stags | 48c | 74.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +11.5wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Siena Saints | 49c | 69.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Siena Saints | 51c | 62.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Fairfield Stags | 47c | 59.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Siena Saints | 53c | 56.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…2e74backed Siena Saints | 52c | 51.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x665c…ee58backed Siena Saints | 54c | 49.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Siena Saints | 49c | 48.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Fairfield Stags | 80c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Siena Saints | 41c | 43.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Fairfield Stags | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Siena Saints | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Siena Saints | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Siena Saints | 33c | 39.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Siena Saints | 50c | 36.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Fairfield Stags | 51c | 35.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Fairfield Stags | 50c | 33.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Siena Saints | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…53a0backed Fairfield Stags | 48c | 24.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Fairfield Stags | 50c | 24.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…efb5backed Siena Saints | 53c | 24.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fairfield Stags | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…2bd0backed Siena Saints | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Fairfield Stags | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…49d2backed Fairfield Stags | 66c | 18.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Siena Saints vs. Fairfield Stagsthis page
- Siena Saints vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 142.5Under won
- Siena Saints vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 143.5Under won
- Siena Saints vs. Fairfield Stags: O/U 144.5Under won
- Spread: Siena Saints (-1.5)Fairfield Stags won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.