CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #18 Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b7fe8d29714cbbf675a3f5faba0985d44472b5bf46b786c3e7f6dc19de1587c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BASEMENT BOYSof BASEMENT BOYS, MASONIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,187 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MASONIC | 47c | 2,626$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.36 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed BASEMENT BOYS | 47c | 1,135$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.04 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 38c | 705.45$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.23 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 47c | 405.8$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MASONIC | 53c | 330$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.9 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked MASONIC | 53c | 306$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.18 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3648…fc70backed BASEMENT BOYS | 62c | 300.57$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BASEMENT BOYS | 45c | 277.31$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked MASONIC | 62c | 246.88$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.88 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed MASONIC | 16c | 205.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed MASONIC | 52c | 154.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked MASONIC | 62c | 153.33$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.73 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…4acabacked BASEMENT BOYS | 49c | 144.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…e7d6backed MASONIC | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed MASONIC | 53c | 122.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…f6dfbacked MASONIC | 53c | 122.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.88 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed MASONIC | 52c | 112.59$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed MASONIC | 61c | 102.17$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MASONIC | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MASONIC | 15c | 76.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked MASONIC | 75c | 70$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed BASEMENT BOYS | 48c | 54.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked BASEMENT BOYS | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed MASONIC | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…e59ebacked MASONIC | 54c | 37.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed BASEMENT BOYS | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…8d29backed MASONIC | 52c | 25.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed MASONIC | 49c | 23.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed MASONIC | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked MASONIC | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de4…e30cbacked MASONIC | 80c | 12.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #18 Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs MASONIC - Map 1 WinnerMASONIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.