NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8664c4391a9d0a6b394a890de3d407aeef618c3c0c9aa52b7eb2b80a96594dcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Stars, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $393,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $410,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 379 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Islanders | 47c | 64,030$29,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,215.91 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Stars | 53c | 60,000$31,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,800 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Islanders | 47c | 59,079$27,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,311.8 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Islanders | 47c | 30,754$14,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,299.68 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Stars | 53c | 25,528$13,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,596.64 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Stars | 43c | 19,863$8,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,609.95 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stars | 53c | 15,195$8,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,097.29 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Stars | 14c | 10,864$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.85 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…0c61backed Stars | 0c | 10,615$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Stars | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.99 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Stars | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.85 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Stars | 53c | 9,747$5,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,165.87 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Stars | 53c | 8,553$4,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,524.61 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Stars | 53c | 7,905$4,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,170.37 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Islanders | 47c | 7,654$3,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,089.01 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Islanders | 47c | 7,385$3,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,914.11 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Islanders | 45c | 6,600$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,630 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Stars | 53c | 6,479$3,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,434 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Islanders | 47c | 6,400$3,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,392 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 53c | 5,882$3,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,093.45 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Stars | 10c | 4,927$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Stars | 54c | 4,500$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.97 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…8eaebacked Islanders | 47c | 4,370$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Stars | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Stars | 54c | 3,903$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.58 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Stars | 54c | 3,818$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.97 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed Stars | 7c | 3,666$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.19 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Islanders | 47c | 3,649$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.21 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Stars | 3c | 3,245$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Stars | 55c | 3,197$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.95 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stars | 20c | 3,062$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.7 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Stars | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.21 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Stars | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Stars | 53c | 2,730$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.74 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Islanders | 78c | 2,589$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.28 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa95b…1b48backed Stars | 54c | 2,565$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0aa…7cfdbacked Islanders | 46c | 2,519$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa0…1aeabacked Stars | 54c | 2,431$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Stars | 28c | 2,182$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.92 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 54c | 2,139$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.89 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Islanders | 45c | 2,093$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.33 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Islanders | 76c | 2,035$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.32 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Islanders | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Stars | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Islanders | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.94 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Stars | 52c | 1,975$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.24 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Islanders | 70c | 1,962$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.38 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Islanders | 47c | 1,928$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.84 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Stars | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Stars | 52c | 1,838$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.64 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6953…a7ccbacked Islanders | 46c | 1,768$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Stars | 53c | 1,710$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.3 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Stars | 9c | 1,644$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.94 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Stars | 53c | 1,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.56 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Islanders | 47c | 1,432$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.69 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Stars | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Islanders | 69c | 1,320$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.64 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Stars | 55c | 1,267$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Islanders | 73c | 1,200$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.93 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Stars | 9c | 1,138$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.18 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Islanders | 46c | 1,117$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.02 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…997cbacked Stars | 53c | 1,023$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.32 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…dfe7backed Islanders | 45c | 999.97$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Stars | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Stars | 52c | 936.97$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.22 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Stars | 34c | 934.29$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Stars | 57c | 910$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.27 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Islanders | 65c | 846.45$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.79 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Islanders | 47c | 835.76$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.95 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Stars | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Islanders | 64c | 752.15$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.45 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Stars | 40c | 751.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Islanders | 43c | 734.47$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.65 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 80c | 734.32$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.05 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd6…ff34backed Stars | 9c | 727$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Stars | 36c | 722.22$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Stars | 53c | 700$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Stars | 54c | 694.44$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Islanders | 47c | 653.19$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.19 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Stars | 47c | 632.86$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Stars | 27c | 586.29$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.3 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d6…fa02backed Stars | 55c | 585.6$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.08 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Stars | 34c | 549.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Islanders | 62c | 546.85$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.56 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Stars | 54c | 520.13$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.27 | 589 | 47%277 W · 312 L | -23.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Stars | 7c | 517.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9d…a833backed Stars | 55c | 504.4$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.42 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.9wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Stars | 53c | 500.02$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.44 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Islanders | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Stars | 55c | 499.97$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.98 | 385 | 55.6%214 W · 171 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stars | 53c | 470.2$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.21 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x029b…1f75backed Stars | 55c | 469.09$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Islanders | 46c | 466.39$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.85 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…b029backed Stars | 54c | 457.41$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Stars | 53c | 448.26$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.58 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Stars | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Stars | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Islanders | 73c | 385.88$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5178…01d8backed Stars | 53c | 376$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.28 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Islanders | 43c | 364.78$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.44 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Islandersthis page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Islanders won
- Stars vs. Islanders: O/U 4.5Under won
- Stars vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5Under won
- Stars vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5Under won
- Stars vs. Islanders: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.