TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,479
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,293

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,479 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa07…2125backed Over51c13,909$7,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,093.581,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c12,025$5,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,144.751,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c11,977$5,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,227.7951550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over52c6,675$3,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,47185250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Over52c4,500$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,34025552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac4d…8e7ebacked Over52c4,167$2,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,166.841172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+33%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under50c3,795$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.634148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over46c3,500$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62541842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over50c3,333$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.527547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under49c2,329$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.791,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.9776950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Under49c1,586$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.626550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over34c1,457$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.6911435.1%40 W · 74 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15338555.6%214 W · 171 L+24.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under60c246.86$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.7630348.8%148 W · 155 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over11c236.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1465721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over52c228.85$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11936652.7%193 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f1…be75backed Under48c214$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7faa…dfb6backed Over52c213.68$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ddf…b055backed Over52c198.65$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ca3…7a9bbacked Over52c197.19$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc60…acfbbacked Under48c197$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x585d…f6d7backed Under48c197$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf324…289dbacked Over52c196.32$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2939…be40backed Over52c195.35$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa9…e834backed Over52c193.78$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88d3…b7b5backed Over52c193.7$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08d4…880cbacked Under48c193$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ba5…f8c4backed Over52c192.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecec…adf0backed Under48c192$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d1…a2b7backed Over52c190.8$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67c0…68d3backed Under48c189$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0887…7c57backed Under48c189$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+110.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd40a…830abacked Under48c188.77$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5935…6b63backed Under48c188$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45ad…45f0backed Under48c188$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78df…0207backed Under48c188$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4f1…70a8backed Under48c186$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbeb7…b454backed Under48c186$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x49eb…21c9backed Over52c185.26$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed1…c71ebacked Under48c185$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53b3…8c48backed Over52c184.74$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ed…8930backed Over52c184.7$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e07…414fbacked Over52c184.65$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x188c…05d7backed Under48c184$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d7ffbacked Under48c184$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea81…5f9cbacked Under48c184$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3012…8470backed Under48c184$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f40…5a7fbacked Over52c183.64$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x987a…a50bbacked Over52c183.36$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e90…a742backed Under48c183$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc72a…587fbacked Over52c182.63$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c4c…fa49backed Over52c182.46$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ff…969fbacked Over52c181.37$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf094…2421backed Over52c181.35$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc4a…7b4cbacked Under48c181$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb730…0a8fbacked Under48c181$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf745…9a78backed Over52c180.88$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9043…8dc4backed Over52c180.26$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2986…a0d8backed Over52c180.22$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.71250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc431…7500backed Under48c180$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x821f…f68ebacked Over52c179.3$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8f1…d393backed Under48c179$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a2e…97e7backed Over52c178.75$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2398…0b07backed Over52c178.71$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.93425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x421d…1958backed Under48c178$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5037…e390backed Under48c178$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b48…130abacked Under48c177$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.04475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+48.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9026…160fbacked Under48c177$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9cb…f20bbacked Over52c176.74$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1b…bf58backed Under48c176$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce98…612bbacked Over52c175.54$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81c0…2560backed Over52c175.29$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ae…c8babacked Under48c175$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee5c…fe62backed Over52c172.2$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7d0…6d93backed Over52c172.12$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8f7…b231backed Under48c172$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0625…ca9bbacked Over52c171.81$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0152…27efbacked Over52c171.3$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x254c…964bbacked Under48c170$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over26c168.77$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9728340.3%114 W · 169 L-24.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x568d…9ff7backed Under48c168$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…ae0ebacked Under49c132.65$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.651457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under72c131.99$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.133,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under48c123.47$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.238849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0101…3728backed Over43c113.64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.873066.7%20 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+25.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over38c111$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.851,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1722750.7%115 W · 112 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2480…1df9backed Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.11233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5292444.5%411 W · 513 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f16…b5b9backed Under49c91.83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.836253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under48c64.97$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7847753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c55.23$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.171,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2642750.8%217 W · 210 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2556553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Over52c45.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6219951.8%103 W · 96 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x787a…9199backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.821553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424c…cf5ebacked Under52c38.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under49c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3886852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.