CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05fb2e7596a0e88d27dc59d4f095ba96b48d36969f6090eeefee2e6edf69b798
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bounty Hunters Esportsof Keyd, Bounty Hunters Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,745 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 2,481$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.26 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Keyd | 45c | 1,189$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.48 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Keyd | 57c | 1,005$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Keyd | 41c | 674.64$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.92 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x679d…6f07backed Keyd | 9c | 638.53$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed Keyd | 46c | 591.62$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Keyd | 32c | 508.03$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.94 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Keyd | 45c | 501$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.07 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Keyd | 19c | 462.91$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.91 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Keyd | 45c | 446.67$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 53c | 409.56$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.68 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…5b36backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 54c | 399.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 58c | 354.5$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.78 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 56c | 337.68$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.59 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 74c | 301.73$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.83 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Keyd | 44c | 213.84$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…a301backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 51c | 194.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 54c | 187$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Keyd | 47c | 166.81$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Keyd | 41c | 164.87$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 53c | 160$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…4acabacked Keyd | 47c | 150.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Keyd | 45c | 146.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Keyd | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…e7d6backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 57c | 123.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked Keyd | 47c | 109.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 53c | 101$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Keyd | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed Keyd | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed Keyd | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Keyd | 35c | 90.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…7824backed Keyd | 48c | 83.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 59c | 82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 52c | 77.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…e488backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Keyd | 22c | 68.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Keyd | 47c | 60.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Keyd | 44c | 60.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 72c | 56.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Keyd | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767c…dc56backed Keyd | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…0abbbacked Keyd | 45c | 44.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 78c | 35.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 32 | 81.3%26 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…37d5backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 57c | 26.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.