CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae8b10ac8afbbc81cf3d273c9782d4c1ee18de00fe60acdaf22e0aab34f40e2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bounty Hunters Esportsof Keyd, Bounty Hunters Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,021 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Keyd | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…df85backed Keyd | 35c | 675.53$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x679d…6f07backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 80c | 382.75$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Keyd | 26c | 343.7$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.74 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 59c | 286.18$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.06 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Keyd | 35c | 267.45$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.13 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 59c | 215.77$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.46 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 57c | 213$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 73c | 178$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Keyd | 10c | 146$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 66c | 128.9$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 63c | 70.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed Keyd | 46c | 29.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm PlayoffsBounty Hunters Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 WinnerBounty Hunters Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.