TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

TCU Horned Frogs vs. UCF Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UCF Knightsof TCU Horned Frogs, UCF Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,783
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,667

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,783 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4e9b…945abacked TCU Horned Frogs49c9,167$4,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,477.247140.8%29 W · 42 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UCF Knights50c3,968$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,992.912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked TCU Horned Frogs51c2,647$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,343.061,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked UCF Knights52c2,141$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.772,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UCF Knights52c1,674$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.82,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked TCU Horned Frogs27c1,561$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.181,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed UCF Knights49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76512646.8%59 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed UCF Knights64c757.95$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.495,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked UCF Knights48c700.45$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.7137142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed UCF Knights51c700$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34335243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed UCF Knights59c698.13$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.333,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed UCF Knights55c646.71$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.411,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed TCU Horned Frogs45c634.37$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.471,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed UCF Knights50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30055749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed TCU Horned Frogs44c572.83$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.0992246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked UCF Knights51c563.5$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.3481453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed UCF Knights53c550.73$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.4715947.2%75 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7235…d870backed TCU Horned Frogs44c530.68$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.9120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ca6…26aebacked UCF Knights58c529.99$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed TCU Horned Frogs51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25079448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed UCF Knights57c424.1$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8837947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed UCF Knights49c407.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.9378052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed UCF Knights68c400.4$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4970936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed TCU Horned Frogs19c392$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.742,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked UCF Knights51c370$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.321646.8%101 W · 115 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed TCU Horned Frogs46c312$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.151,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked TCU Horned Frogs5c305.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.371,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ab…7954backed UCF Knights51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1471250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked TCU Horned Frogs42c300$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1272,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed TCU Horned Frogs51c255$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.055350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed UCF Knights57c253.42$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9130649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked UCF Knights49c248$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.984,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked TCU Horned Frogs43c210$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.350745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed UCF Knights54c207.01$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0199045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked TCU Horned Frogs45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed TCU Horned Frogs51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed TCU Horned Frogs53c189.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.157448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed UCF Knights69c180.82$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9168254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed TCU Horned Frogs46c164.72$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7782048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb941…b56bbacked TCU Horned Frogs44c162.34$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.431540%6 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked UCF Knights52c158.2$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.334,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed TCU Horned Frogs51c156.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed UCF Knights78c156.86$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7564658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked TCU Horned Frogs15c156$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.139742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked TCU Horned Frogs46c152.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7040755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked TCU Horned Frogs53c146.21$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.492853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed TCU Horned Frogs47c142.11$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.799338.7%36 W · 57 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed TCU Horned Frogs32c128.26$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.292,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd7d…4b2fbacked UCF Knights48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+40.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed TCU Horned Frogs44c117.37$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.011,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked UCF Knights55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0939050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7baf…4acabacked TCU Horned Frogs47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed UCF Knights51c106.33$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.949235.9%33 W · 59 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83be…4a50backed TCU Horned Frogs10c100.49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked TCU Horned Frogs47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd89…a306backed TCU Horned Frogs44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0742…670ebacked UCF Knights56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed UCF Knights57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4321449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a6e…ca94backed UCF Knights56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8dd…24a9backed TCU Horned Frogs44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed UCF Knights77c97.74$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc90d…e7d6backed UCF Knights54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe314…5493backed TCU Horned Frogs44c90.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked TCU Horned Frogs15c84.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.91,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed TCU Horned Frogs44c84$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.661,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked UCF Knights51c83.24$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7974152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ec…2892backed UCF Knights62c80.85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.85714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-76.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked TCU Horned Frogs44c80.57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2250548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed TCU Horned Frogs45c78.46$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3185248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked TCU Horned Frogs29c76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0437441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked UCF Knights55c74.55$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5522656.2%127 W · 99 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed UCF Knights48c63.96$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.262138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed TCU Horned Frogs53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.852353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed TCU Horned Frogs45c57.7$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.972347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b9…0a9bbacked UCF Knights63c56.54$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.027350.7%37 W · 36 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b6e…b1a7backed UCF Knights54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5614448.6%70 W · 74 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcca7…00f9backed UCF Knights57c52.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacc8…1df3backed TCU Horned Frogs51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked TCU Horned Frogs51c48.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.752540%10 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed UCF Knights57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8623363.9%149 W · 84 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed TCU Horned Frogs48c43.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1921651.4%111 W · 105 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed TCU Horned Frogs35c41.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3820248%97 W · 105 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed TCU Horned Frogs48c40.46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3343053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed TCU Horned Frogs44c40.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.621,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked TCU Horned Frogs51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.416551.5%85 W · 80 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed UCF Knights50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2021050%105 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked TCU Horned Frogs39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157751.9%40 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x085d…5302backed UCF Knights55c37.83$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0213550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed TCU Horned Frogs43c37.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0616140.4%65 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed UCF Knights51c37.24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2542339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked UCF Knights54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x83cb…1038backed UCF Knights57c36.81$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed TCU Horned Frogs43c32.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.837835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked TCU Horned Frogs53c30.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164866.7%32 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed TCU Horned Frogs43c29.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.791,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x4924…3ae9backed TCU Horned Frogs44c29.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.033743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed UCF Knights56c26.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7218230.8%56 W · 126 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…2e74backed TCU Horned Frogs44c25.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1119860.1%119 W · 79 L+15.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac3f…1966backed TCU Horned Frogs51c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7325152.6%132 W · 119 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28a3…8620backed TCU Horned Frogs53c22.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123050%15 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.