Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
TCU Horned Frogs vs. UCF Knights: O/U 155.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbee6fc4fdad6ca8f02fcdd3d56f718116ebc1d0873fe60cf689e9cc38467b5a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Over | 50c | 2,650$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 53c | 1,896$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.39 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 1,005$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.9 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 47c | 957.45$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 749$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.52 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 657.52$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.33 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 40c | 607.66$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.37 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 48c | 520$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Under | 50c | 384$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 50c | 340$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Under | 54c | 222$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…c3ffbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Under | 50c | 122.04$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 32c | 114.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…9827backed Under | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 53c | 56.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…fb21backed Under | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 41c | 44.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 52c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 41.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Under | 50c | 41.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +11.5wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…3efdbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4909…8f39backed Under | 50c | 32.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…5107backed Over | 61c | 24.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 53c | 21.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 48c | 20.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. UCF Knights: O/U 155.5this page
- Spread: TCU Horned Frogs (-1.5)UCF Knights won
- Spread: UCF Knights (-1.5)UCF Knights won
- Spread: UCF Knights (-2.5)UCF Knights won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. UCF KnightsUCF Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.