CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: magic vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - HLC Belgrade Pro Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef0b1e916a70eea7ea7fbb3d5bc824ce22dc65b5f694d7c921d3381654d0eb07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof magic, CYBERSHOKE Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 27c | 984.53$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.64 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd4…39b8backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 38c | 828.51$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.11 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed magic | 71c | 709.54$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.63 | 168 | 29.2%49 W · 119 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed magic | 62c | 649.88$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.95 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed magic | 73c | 445.56$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.94 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 38c | 428.25$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.74 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed magic | 62c | 275.82$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.81 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed magic | 62c | 254.94$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.88 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 11c | 242.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 30c | 192.84$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked magic | 72c | 130.39$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 36c | 129.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 29c | 105.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 38c | 104.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed magic | 62c | 83.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb379…28fabacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 17c | 83.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed magic | 62c | 83.06$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed magic | 64c | 60.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…35c6backed magic | 64c | 45.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 48c | 42.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked magic | 73c | 39.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked magic | 62c | 39.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked magic | 61c | 32.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed magic | 58c | 31.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 41c | 30.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed magic | 62c | 28.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed magic | 78c | 27.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked magic | 48c | 26.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…b19fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 51c | 22.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed magic | 79c | 20.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed magic | 79c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.89 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: magic vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - HLC Belgrade Pro Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: magic vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winnermagic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.