CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs AaB Esport (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77826ec3471e25332edf3bcaf7ab5096e9614d084a070972101f468dbc796e0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Falcons Forceof Falcons Force, AaB Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x668d…e471backed AaB Esport | 72c | 1,725$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.22 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Falcons Force | 38c | 1,493$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.7 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…70cdbacked Falcons Force | 54c | 1,432$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.31 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Falcons Force | 21c | 1,025$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.99 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed AaB Esport | 2c | 993.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd4…39b8backed Falcons Force | 25c | 887.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.99 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Falcons Force | 27c | 685.12$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.18 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked AaB Esport | 54c | 615.98$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.45 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0d…32e1backed Falcons Force | 16c | 581.15$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.17 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Falcons Force | 59c | 504.37$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.37 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked AaB Esport | 75c | 491.19$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.39 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Falcons Force | 43c | 419.89$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.63 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked AaB Esport | 75c | 394$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.5 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed AaB Esport | 7c | 389.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked AaB Esport | 66c | 386.62$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.93 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked AaB Esport | 4c | 378.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Falcons Force | 24c | 373.56$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.44 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked Falcons Force | 26c | 367.35$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.84 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked AaB Esport | 72c | 276.18$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.52 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed AaB Esport | 68c | 274.62$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.74 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Falcons Force | 29c | 272.58$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Falcons Force | 7c | 272.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.66 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Falcons Force | 24c | 247.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.17 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked AaB Esport | 36c | 236.58$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.83 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked AaB Esport | 21c | 231.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Falcons Force | 44c | 224.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.46 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…d8d9backed Falcons Force | 11c | 188$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed AaB Esport | 55c | 174.53$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Falcons Force | 36c | 163.53$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.6 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Falcons Force | 36c | 151.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Falcons Force | 32c | 143.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…1e5cbacked Falcons Force | 24c | 133.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.23 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Falcons Force | 79c | 125.89$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Falcons Force | 21c | 122.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.77 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked AaB Esport | 40c | 117$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed AaB Esport | 37c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed AaB Esport | 75c | 106.02$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.51 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed AaB Esport | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed AaB Esport | 77c | 99.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…f377backed Falcons Force | 77c | 94.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed AaB Esport | 59c | 77.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…6e8bbacked Falcons Force | 40c | 72.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed AaB Esport | 54c | 68.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Falcons Force | 28c | 64.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Falcons Force | 80c | 63.29$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Falcons Force | 78c | 63.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked AaB Esport | 74c | 59.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed AaB Esport | 38c | 57.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Falcons Force | 79c | 55.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f616backed AaB Esport | 73c | 54.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6489…2ddfbacked Falcons Force | 31c | 51.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed AaB Esport | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c0…b0e0backed AaB Esport | 41c | 47.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed AaB Esport | 37c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ea…3027backed Falcons Force | 33c | 44.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked AaB Esport | 41c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked AaB Esport | 50c | 39.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked AaB Esport | 35c | 38.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Falcons Force | 49c | 35.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed AaB Esport | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed AaB Esport | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed AaB Esport | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked AaB Esport | 62c | 31.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d5…7c98backed AaB Esport | 75c | 29.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed AaB Esport | 79c | 27.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x804a…d316backed AaB Esport | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -7.2wins | -0.20per pick | 72cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked AaB Esport | 58c | 24.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d97…cab6backed AaB Esport | 75c | 23.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…2d57backed Falcons Force | 78c | 18.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed AaB Esport | 74c | 15.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…c86cbacked AaB Esport | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.37per pick | 59cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs AaB Esport (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs AaB Esport - Map 1 WinnerAaB Esport won
- Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs AaB Esport - Map 2 WinnerFalcons Force won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.