CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs AaB Esport - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe94784ee5447f0610b52a0ed944a1ccacfb74d5941de4fcc79958f1d11d2c2b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Falcons Forceof Falcons Force, AaB Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x668d…e471backed AaB Esport | 37c | 1,738$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.68 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Falcons Force | 58c | 1,669$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.42 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed AaB Esport | 46c | 1,337$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.91 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Falcons Force | 55c | 1,243$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.31 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Falcons Force | 46c | 717.29$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.3 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked AaB Esport | 53c | 549.02$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.65 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Falcons Force | 57c | 514.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.84 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed AaB Esport | 47c | 461.98$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.69 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…e615backed AaB Esport | 74c | 416.09$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.77 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Falcons Force | 61c | 409$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.51 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Falcons Force | 53c | 321.25$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.6 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed AaB Esport | 12c | 295$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed AaB Esport | 48c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Falcons Force | 60c | 174.06$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.51 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked AaB Esport | 23c | 149$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed AaB Esport | 39c | 125.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked AaB Esport | 44c | 103.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…f377backed Falcons Force | 65c | 102.68$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked AaB Esport | 28c | 95.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Falcons Force | 39c | 85.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Falcons Force | 74c | 77.51$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked AaB Esport | 36c | 69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Falcons Force | 60c | 65.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Falcons Force | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed AaB Esport | 49c | 59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Falcons Force | 60c | 58.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked AaB Esport | 48c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Falcons Force | 44c | 47.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed AaB Esport | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed AaB Esport | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…659bbacked Falcons Force | 63c | 39.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed AaB Esport | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Falcons Force | 58c | 38.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…2359backed AaB Esport | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed AaB Esport | 43c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed AaB Esport | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Falcons Force | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs AaB Esport - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs AaB Esport (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship PlayoffsFalcons Force won
- Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs AaB Esport - Map 1 WinnerAaB Esport won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.