TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Misa Esports vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, BIG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$186,430
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$215,515

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,430 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe308…25cdbacked Misa Esports48c22,979$11,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,894.4866437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43ff…a491backed BIG1c8,537$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.618554.1%100 W · 85 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed BIG37c4,418$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.151,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed BIG40c4,382$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.429131.9%29 W · 62 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked BIG51c4,012$2,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,052.271,26737.7%478 W · 789 L+35.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Misa Esports73c3,847$2,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.4459548.2%287 W · 308 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed BIG38c3,804$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.8339246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Misa Esports74c3,717$2,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.2267250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Misa Esports73c3,561$2,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.142,01258.1%1,168 W · 844 L+84.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked BIG53c3,506$1,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,858.382,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed BIG27c3,376$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.771,47429%427 W · 1,047 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked BIG53c2,839$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.3278549.9%392 W · 393 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed BIG33c2,490$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.6169539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed BIG29c1,951$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.3124065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6215…d198backed BIG33c1,906$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked BIG7c1,785$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4923341.2%96 W · 137 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed Misa Esports70c1,605$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.9411768.4%80 W · 37 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Misa Esports58c1,487$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.881,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Misa Esports51c1,434$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.5251160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa7…db93backed Misa Esports73c1,350$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.5523674.6%176 W · 60 L+17.9wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+10.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked BIG30c1,188$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.1575942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe207…56c7backed BIG32c1,100$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.253727%10 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed BIG16c1,099$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.7790443.6%394 W · 510 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked BIG18c1,097$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6310749.5%53 W · 54 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e11…e1f5backed BIG51c1,064$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.068644.2%38 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c6…756cbacked BIG2c1,020$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Misa Esports71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BIG49c969.48$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.892,36440.7%963 W · 1,401 L-57.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed BIG28c856.16$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.4716339.3%64 W · 99 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BIG33c788.7$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.731,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe6d…9d6abacked BIG50c777.14$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.57650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed BIG29c714.72$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.671,80251.2%923 W · 879 L+53.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Misa Esports69c687.26$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9516555.2%91 W · 74 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked BIG31c653.02$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.4425733.1%85 W · 172 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked BIG58c650.65$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.521,09147.4%517 W · 574 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b2a…5aa6backed Misa Esports68c642.12$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.48425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-63.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked BIG31c618.45$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.7226448.5%128 W · 136 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x709f…a1e4backed Misa Esports77c575.65$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.69264.1%59 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked BIG11c551.15$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4273237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x15fb…252dbacked BIG27c549.97$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed BIG27c535.36$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5535243.2%152 W · 200 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e45…4b13backed Misa Esports75c522.24$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.1313171%93 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Misa Esports69c512.08$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.741,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed BIG47c508.59$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.0653338.6%206 W · 327 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed BIG30c505.36$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.553839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked BIG30c499.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed BIG53c497.18$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.574250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Misa Esports72c491.75$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.6965563.2%414 W · 241 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed BIG40c486.85$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.731,52550.6%771 W · 754 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa3…5458backed BIG4c478.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.88757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed BIG28c460.15$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Misa Esports72c459.3$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.2931153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Misa Esports71c454.05$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.441,02539.6%406 W · 619 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked BIG40c446.95$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.5840237.8%152 W · 250 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36f2…4ca4backed Misa Esports71c416.86$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.1415062%93 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x851a…92e7backed BIG56c410.43$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eae…d46dbacked BIG60c395.01$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.952528%7 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-52%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Misa Esports64c387.68$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.4250549.3%249 W · 256 L+2.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BIG38c386.46$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.362,91038.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L-120.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73e8…7921backed Misa Esports55c373.69$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.375667.9%38 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed BIG8c373.29$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3154944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cea…2d58backed Misa Esports61c371.54$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.916354%88 W · 75 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf3f…7d4abacked BIG8c368.71$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.811449.1%56 W · 58 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ab…5080backed Misa Esports74c355.88$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3219257.8%111 W · 81 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-10.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9227…e497backed BIG29c348.31$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7214335%50 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed BIG28c344.78$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.443,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c5…4ff4backed BIG12c327.23$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.988732.2%28 W · 59 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed BIG39c312.02$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6827254.4%148 W · 124 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x968a…3841backed BIG22c303.06$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4413342.9%57 W · 76 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f77…21bfbacked Misa Esports71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f0c…a691backed Misa Esports71c297.65$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.362851%320 W · 308 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked BIG50c252.2$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.182260.9%501 W · 321 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Misa Esports42c250$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14548243.2%208 W · 274 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dae…0336backed BIG39c247.03$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3414149.6%70 W · 71 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48d1…8fe6backed Misa Esports69c231.61$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.86749.3%33 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e75…0dd7backed BIG19c231.52$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8333151.7%171 W · 160 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9c…101cbacked Misa Esports68c228.02$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.772142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-40.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8d0…f87ebacked BIG29c228$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1140340.9%165 W · 238 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed BIG35c223.14$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.053716.2%6 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-59.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ef1…add2backed Misa Esports74c216.54$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7922867.5%154 W · 74 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed BIG39c208.68$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.531,61643.8%708 W · 908 L-74.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed Misa Esports47c204.43$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.5829238.4%112 W · 180 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Misa Esports45c199.98$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9926859.7%160 W · 108 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69e6…b9f9backed BIG51c190$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.963043.8%276 W · 354 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf0…4046backed BIG33c189.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.711361.9%70 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked BIG37c189.93$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.588967.4%60 W · 29 L+13.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked BIG53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1818542.2%78 W · 107 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed BIG23c179.23$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4421334.7%74 W · 139 L-16.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed BIG47c178.33$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.781,57748.4%764 W · 813 L+17.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8ca…b702backed BIG6c172$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.15916.9%10 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked BIG15c170.4$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.996535.4%23 W · 42 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+44.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a3e…5d9dbacked BIG28c166.43$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.748042.3%203 W · 277 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed BIG47c163.63$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1135546.8%166 W · 189 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed BIG11c157.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3450647.2%239 W · 267 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30bf…a6f7backed BIG32c148.27$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.972458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fcb…5085backed BIG33c146.53$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9823656.8%134 W · 102 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Misa Esports78c145.92$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4520756%116 W · 91 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked BIG30c142.98$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8953649.8%267 W · 269 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed BIG34c141.48$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0264451.2%330 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed BIG53c140.42$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4216342.9%70 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.