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Lol · resolved market

LoL: Misa Esports vs BIG - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BIGof Misa Esports, BIG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,860
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,503

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,860 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9671…3a70backed Misa Esports1c14,443$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.762844.6%13 W · 271 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Misa Esports45c9,448$4,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,238.281,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed BIG62c7,332$4,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.6924065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd20f…2f35backed Misa Esports67c3,356$2,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,264.039456.4%53 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Misa Esports29c2,399$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.391,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc92…2e78backed BIG76c2,172$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.9411060.9%67 W · 43 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed BIG36c1,937$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.339246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Misa Esports34c1,921$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.0775942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe207…56c7backed Misa Esports36c1,889$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6803727%10 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked BIG38c1,268$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.1933251.5%171 W · 161 L+33.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Misa Esports60c950$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.51,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed BIG38c871.97$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.6286852.4%455 W · 413 L+36.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39b6…43d6backed BIG74c716.94$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.41957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Misa Esports75c692.35$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.7451160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed BIG58c645.71$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.8944042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed BIG33c645.25$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.3276953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked BIG19c633.2$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.3923441.5%97 W · 137 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Misa Esports2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124418.2%8 W · 36 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick12cpaid+135.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed Misa Esports65c451.85$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.739663.4%251 W · 145 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Misa Esports34c418.18$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1346637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed BIG23c414.7$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.3269942.5%297 W · 402 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed BIG32c403.7$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.5231036.1%112 W · 198 L-18.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed BIG11c389.94$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.3450647.2%239 W · 267 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BIG22c381.15$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.772,37840.9%973 W · 1,405 L-56.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f6c…620bbacked BIG72c378.45$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4132566.5%216 W · 109 L+26.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed BIG42c366.15$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.831,27057%724 W · 546 L+45.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked BIG57c341.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.981,68859.5%1,004 W · 684 L+99.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed BIG58c340$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.856650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed BIG34c282.47$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.4341945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked BIG72c273.11$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6326448.5%128 W · 136 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x246d…b3e6backed Misa Esports69c257.14$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed BIG70c243.99$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.274462.2%463 W · 281 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4830…b173backed BIG60c230.71$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked BIG44c220.51$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.1373237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd89c…2d1fbacked Misa Esports44c219.64$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6418159.1%107 W · 74 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BIG29c219.46$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.452,91538.5%1,122 W · 1,793 L-120.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x109b…935fbacked Misa Esports67c219.45$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.0328261%172 W · 110 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6af6…c777backed BIG43c214.16$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.522445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Misa Esports24c205$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3333124.2%80 W · 251 L-33.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-43.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked BIG40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12026859.7%160 W · 108 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe193…cc85backed Misa Esports66c200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Misa Esports49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.941,46143.3%632 W · 829 L+106.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a0c…3ccebacked Misa Esports41c179.49$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.597040%28 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Misa Esports57c175.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0331153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaac7…5218backed Misa Esports72c169.66$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc221…fe97backed Misa Esports30c159.84$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.95154.9%28 W · 23 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+37.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa6ab…5080backed Misa Esports66c150.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5519257.8%111 W · 81 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-10.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df2…d357backed Misa Esports66c148.42$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9640959.2%242 W · 167 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…5cefbacked Misa Esports68c144.24$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0817057.1%97 W · 73 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked BIG38c138.51$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8840237.8%152 W · 250 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked BIG35c137.29$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2426844%118 W · 150 L-37.1wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-26.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x12b2…74b8backed BIG24c131.44$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.991346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed BIG29c126.11$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.541,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed BIG23c125.84$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8769539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked BIG19c125.18$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.425540.4%103 W · 152 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed BIG15c124.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.741,54943.8%679 W · 870 L-27.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf592…b62dbacked Misa Esports68c108.82$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.968557.5%394 W · 291 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Misa Esports14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411316.8%19 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+65.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9309…c705backed Misa Esports14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+46.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Misa Esports70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020756%116 W · 91 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed BIG31c99.79$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.71,80551.3%926 W · 879 L+54.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked BIG33c91.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.37935.4%28 W · 51 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Misa Esports30c90.39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9323624.6%58 W · 178 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed BIG30c87.06$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9435546.8%166 W · 189 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Misa Esports37c84.75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9522758.1%132 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Misa Esports67c82.42$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2266947.8%320 W · 349 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fcb…5085backed Misa Esports61c80.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8223656.8%134 W · 102 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed BIG31c79.72$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.311,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Misa Esports54c79$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2960738.7%235 W · 372 L+2.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Misa Esports51c71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2118038.9%70 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Misa Esports62c62$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5125340.7%103 W · 150 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Misa Esports53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7225331.2%79 W · 174 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked BIG40c59.76$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1341651.2%213 W · 203 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed BIG23c57.35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1616443.3%71 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa86a…644dbacked BIG63c55.87$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.674052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa143…586cbacked Misa Esports34c54.69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5926937.5%101 W · 168 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x73c8…60cabacked Misa Esports68c51.49$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.013366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Misa Esports43c50.82$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8142124.7%104 W · 317 L-51.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x9b70…1efebacked Misa Esports80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407250%36 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Misa Esports36c48.58$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2543233.8%146 W · 286 L-20.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked Misa Esports70c46.43$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.455347%260 W · 293 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked BIG45c45.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0837643.1%162 W · 214 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Misa Esports66c44.63$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3929446.9%138 W · 156 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x569a…843cbacked BIG33c43.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.214551.1%23 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4168…a631backed Misa Esports68c43.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.412055%11 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…7696backed BIG40c41.85$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.095100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+107.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd852…6cd0backed Misa Esports57c39.15$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.351258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+102.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Misa Esports36c36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9972637.7%274 W · 452 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45e1…e4cabacked Misa Esports41c35.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.542231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-50.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed Misa Esports56c34.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4729948.8%146 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f0c…a691backed Misa Esports62c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.663351%323 W · 310 L+1.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab4d…554bbacked BIG38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.615740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed BIG71c26.94$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.811,50148.4%727 W · 774 L+47.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Misa Esports79c25.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050057.4%287 W · 213 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x754d…7c7bbacked Misa Esports70c20.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.