Lol · resolved market
LoL: Misa Esports vs BIG - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcb4a8fcecc4997885bdd5fd2c5d8dac5c5c037878cf725e433c9edbd70b7308
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, BIG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed Misa Esports | 69c | 4,183$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.6 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Misa Esports | 78c | 2,869$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.32 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Misa Esports | 67c | 2,486$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.26 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Misa Esports | 65c | 2,060$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.89 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Misa Esports | 67c | 1,723$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.59 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked BIG | 32c | 1,324$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed BIG | 31c | 1,250$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.5 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe207…56c7backed BIG | 33c | 1,247$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.06 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked BIG | 38c | 1,246$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.08 | 701 | 62.2%436 W · 265 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed BIG | 28c | 1,220$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.59 | 856 | 52.2%447 W · 409 L | +34.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed BIG | 35c | 1,105$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.56 | 264 | 43.6%115 W · 149 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BIG | 34c | 1,071$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.11 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Misa Esports | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.14 | 137 | 61.3%84 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked BIG | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked BIG | 33c | 999.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Misa Esports | 66c | 890$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.6 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Misa Esports | 62c | 850$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.5 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed BIG | 23c | 799.98$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…8c79backed BIG | 31c | 619.36$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.71 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Misa Esports | 74c | 595.98$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.92 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked BIG | 33c | 591.14$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.29 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2a…5aa6backed BIG | 33c | 587.85$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed BIG | 24c | 511.52$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.34 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Misa Esports | 68c | 467.69$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.42 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed BIG | 33c | 453.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.79 | 249 | 39%97 W · 152 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Misa Esports | 70c | 436.83$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.92 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Misa Esports | 69c | 397.03$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.96 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed BIG | 32c | 383.21$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.55 | 524 | 38.9%204 W · 320 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6af6…c777backed BIG | 35c | 358.89$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.61 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…2dc9backed BIG | 23c | 316.69$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked BIG | 14c | 284.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BIG | 27c | 283.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…5080backed Misa Esports | 67c | 264.36$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.24 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BIG | 30c | 239.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed BIG | 33c | 234.48$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…586cbacked BIG | 12c | 232.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 269 | 37.5%101 W · 168 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked BIG | 32c | 217.71$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 466 | 37.6%175 W · 291 L | -19.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Misa Esports | 73c | 164.09$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…e234backed BIG | 9c | 157.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…a1e4backed BIG | 19c | 145$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked BIG | 35c | 137.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Misa Esports | 78c | 126.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Misa Esports | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 403 | 64.5%260 W · 143 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed BIG | 33c | 115.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3f…7d4abacked BIG | 12c | 102.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked BIG | 34c | 98.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c8…60cabacked Misa Esports | 68c | 95.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed BIG | 30c | 95.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 160 | 43.1%69 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Misa Esports | 65c | 90.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…5085backed BIG | 24c | 79.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 236 | 56.8%134 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Misa Esports | 69c | 74.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…554bbacked Misa Esports | 66c | 72.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked BIG | 33c | 70.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked BIG | 32c | 61.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 553 | 47%260 W · 293 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BIG | 33c | 60.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed BIG | 32c | 59.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 460 | 58%267 W · 193 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed BIG | 31c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Misa Esports | 69c | 48.68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…620bbacked Misa Esports | 77c | 48.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 325 | 66.5%216 W · 109 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked BIG | 34c | 42.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 268 | 44%118 W · 150 L | -37.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed BIG | 34c | 39.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x217a…5dfabacked Misa Esports | 66c | 38.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 470 | 57.7%271 W · 199 L | -27.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked BIG | 33c | 34.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Misa Esports | 80c | 33.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Misa Esports | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 1,048 | 46.1%483 W · 565 L | -43.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x269e…ada9backed Misa Esports | 69c | 21.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 28 | 92.9%26 W · 2 L | +8.2wins | +0.29per pick | 63cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…04d2backed Misa Esports | 67c | 17.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Misa Esports vs BIG - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)BIG won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs BIG - Game 1 WinnerBIG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.