Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02ce57171731ee7de7e3bbdd4b7fa85e8b32f61dcb72e68570cc03e27fcf29ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Team Lynx, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Team Lynx | 37c | 2,433$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.29 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Zero Tenacity | 78c | 2,233$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.72 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Lynx | 25c | 2,065$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.6 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Lynx | 35c | 1,523$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.16 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Lynx | 40c | 771.58$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.23 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Lynx | 31c | 591.94$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.83 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Zero Tenacity | 53c | 584.46$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.7 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Zero Tenacity | 55c | 401.72$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.97 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Zero Tenacity | 52c | 381.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.58 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2da…836ebacked Zero Tenacity | 57c | 375.35$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 350$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 349.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.49 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 331.79$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.17 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfef…5b77backed Zero Tenacity | 78c | 303.9$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Lynx | 40c | 293.28$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.72 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Team Lynx | 21c | 276.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8423…2acfbacked Team Lynx | 39c | 227.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Team Lynx | 20c | 209.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Lynx | 48c | 206.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Team Lynx | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Zero Tenacity | 59c | 197.05$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.79 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked Zero Tenacity | 54c | 148.83$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Team Lynx | 12c | 110.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…b19fbacked Zero Tenacity | 76c | 110.11$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Team Lynx | 51c | 106$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Team Lynx | 33c | 103.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Team Lynx | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Team Lynx | 26c | 94.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Lynx | 41c | 88.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…4d2abacked Zero Tenacity | 59c | 84.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Zero Tenacity | 48c | 79.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Team Lynx | 30c | 78.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Team Lynx | 40c | 77.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Lynx | 33c | 75.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed Zero Tenacity | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefd5…e61cbacked Zero Tenacity | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Zero Tenacity | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Zero Tenacity | 67c | 59.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Zero Tenacity | 52c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | -18.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Team Lynx | 27c | 55.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Zero Tenacity | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Team Lynx | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2b…7fc1backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Zero Tenacity | 58c | 46.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Team Lynx | 41c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Team Lynx | 35c | 40.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Zero Tenacity | 63c | 30.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…e3eabacked Zero Tenacity | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Lynx | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Zero Tenacity | 37c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe176…8a47backed Zero Tenacity | 79c | 26.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed Zero Tenacity | 76c | 20.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Zero Tenacity | 68c | 18.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8131…758cbacked Zero Tenacity | 61c | 17.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b95…af88backed Zero Tenacity | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Zero Tenacity | 74c | 14.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Zero Tenacity | 76c | 14.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity (BO5) - European Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity - Game 3 WinnerTeam Lynx won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Zero Tenacity - Game 4 WinnerTeam Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.