TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Virtus.proof Virtus.pro, Power Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,106
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,106

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,106 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x913c…39b3backed Power Rangers40c6,875$2,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,755.9471454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Power Rangers47c5,020$2,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,365.650449.2%248 W · 256 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Virtus.pro63c3,803$2,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.6154556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Virtus.pro62c3,022$1,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.5179559.4%472 W · 323 L+3.7wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Power Rangers31c1,653$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.4151751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Virtus.pro35c1,439$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.0199844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c52…677dbacked Virtus.pro72c1,133$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.678746%40 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Power Rangers59c1,028$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60686949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae10…d0d9backed Virtus.pro57c772.3$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.1717353.2%92 W · 81 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Virtus.pro64c768.36$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.5550769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Power Rangers42c766.46$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.512,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Power Rangers40c684.52$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.992,36747.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Power Rangers38c660.52$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.7167043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Power Rangers35c595.31$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.3669235.3%244 W · 448 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a4…4249backed Power Rangers49c555.72$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.1119664.8%127 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d3f…ab65backed Power Rangers35c548.53$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.999749.5%48 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed Power Rangers32c495.01$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1238855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Virtus.pro51c490$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.18728.7%25 W · 62 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Power Rangers24c477.2$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5342145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe6d…9d6abacked Power Rangers78c385.01$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.694065%26 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Virtus.pro50c374$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18737945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77f1…8cc6backed Power Rangers28c336.74$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.711030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa042…5539backed Virtus.pro48c334.2$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.417454%94 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked Power Rangers66c321.58$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.2436759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe457…8c08backed Power Rangers10c319.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.74748.9%23 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1197…8311backed Power Rangers38c319.7$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4912661.1%77 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Power Rangers32c318.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3330647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebf8…7d2bbacked Power Rangers59c302.27$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.3410541%43 W · 62 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Power Rangers31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9356243.2%243 W · 319 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed Virtus.pro35c297.05$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.5579343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Virtus.pro46c286.67$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.931,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked Power Rangers61c273.26$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6926859%158 W · 110 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Virtus.pro44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x127e…cca1backed Power Rangers55c248.38$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6146150.8%234 W · 227 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…a5edbacked Virtus.pro62c232.25$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2540644.6%181 W · 225 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed Power Rangers35c217.85$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3413228.8%38 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Power Rangers22c200.35$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2251140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Power Rangers49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9446049.8%229 W · 231 L+2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Power Rangers44c188.98$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1420858.7%122 W · 86 L+22.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Virtus.pro35c188.71$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.8189341.5%371 W · 522 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Power Rangers38c184.63$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.641,27045.1%573 W · 697 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Power Rangers65c180.51$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1448352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed Power Rangers41c167.19$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4929347.4%139 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked Virtus.pro75c161.42$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8721650.9%110 W · 106 L-25.3wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-21.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Virtus.pro69c142.41$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2761745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed Power Rangers60c133.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x330b…60ccbacked Power Rangers41c129.09$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.813647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17ca…87d1backed Virtus.pro70c112$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.619552.8%103 W · 92 L-15.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Power Rangers21c106$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2612651.6%65 W · 61 L+14.8wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+25.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Virtus.pro69c105$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7565337.2%243 W · 410 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Power Rangers31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3152243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Power Rangers21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2116250%81 W · 81 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5051…82a6backed Power Rangers36c98.46$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4420452.5%107 W · 97 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ee3…7c36backed Power Rangers22c93.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7824131.5%76 W · 165 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Power Rangers49c92.88$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5130356.4%171 W · 132 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x796d…9551backed Power Rangers37c75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.752152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Power Rangers45c73.87$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3625648%123 W · 133 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18f…c57abacked Virtus.pro47c66.55$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.314351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed Power Rangers21c66.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.933844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Virtus.pro65c66$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.15048%24 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Virtus.pro65c66$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.12657.7%15 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Virtus.pro32c62.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.731,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9332…a3dbbacked Virtus.pro32c60.66$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4576048.6%369 W · 391 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8575…8314backed Virtus.pro69c59.87$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Virtus.pro65c58.04$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1220954.5%114 W · 95 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked Power Rangers42c57.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2652649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Virtus.pro69c55.35$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3424527.3%67 W · 178 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Power Rangers56c54.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8969033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Power Rangers21c53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1320448%98 W · 106 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Power Rangers21c53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1325351.4%130 W · 123 L+23.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x984b…88fbbacked Power Rangers32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Power Rangers21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.516453.7%88 W · 76 L+15.1wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+16.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Virtus.pro60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2092561.2%566 W · 359 L+53.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1863…6174backed Power Rangers57c42.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3630260.3%182 W · 120 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Power Rangers61c41.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6186659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53fe…0485backed Power Rangers35c41.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.42922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-43.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02c0…d718backed Virtus.pro41c39.91$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.682138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Power Rangers41c39.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.181,25549.6%623 W · 632 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Power Rangers58c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.336044.2%159 W · 201 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3396…0ef4backed Power Rangers58c33.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.492441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8058…4cc3backed Virtus.pro79c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5617861.2%109 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3492…983fbacked Virtus.pro66c26.45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.937159.2%42 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Virtus.pro72c19.02$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.238641.9%36 W · 50 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0148…b61cbacked Virtus.pro59c18.44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.54647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.