Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdaec5e39baad9b09b0e550bb451d5e5b65267b41d2d7b4306dec70741b76ecb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Virtus.pro, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf138…c953backed Power Rangers | 0c | 21,723$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Virtus.pro | 70c | 4,770$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.24 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Power Rangers | 30c | 3,698$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.07 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Virtus.pro | 72c | 1,530$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.46 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Power Rangers | 18c | 1,223$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Power Rangers | 29c | 1,031$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.91 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Power Rangers | 30c | 638.67$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.6 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Virtus.pro | 71c | 624.38$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Power Rangers | 30c | 593.4$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.17 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Virtus.pro | 71c | 569.43$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.14 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Power Rangers | 7c | 539.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Power Rangers | 28c | 399.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Virtus.pro | 69c | 369.58$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.57 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Power Rangers | 30c | 286.57$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.97 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Power Rangers | 30c | 168.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Power Rangers | 19c | 136.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Power Rangers | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Virtus.pro | 71c | 98.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…677dbacked Virtus.pro | 71c | 76.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Virtus.pro | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Power Rangers | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Virtus.pro | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Power Rangers (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group BVirtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Power Rangers - Game 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.