Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: eSports Cologne vs Dortmund eSports (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x322d9316b1462333033ac2521bcbb3b0df3990282b42feecac19ab8beb666637
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dortmund eSportsof eSports Cologne, Dortmund eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4162…0d18backed Dortmund eSports | 73c | 1,732$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.52 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed eSports Cologne | 29c | 1,489$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.07 | 465 | 26.7%124 W · 341 L | -25.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Dortmund eSports | 69c | 1,139$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.53 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Dortmund eSports | 70c | 1,033$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.19 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6d…9d6abacked eSports Cologne | 30c | 957.14$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.14 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed eSports Cologne | 19c | 906.49$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.35 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed eSports Cologne | 14c | 771.19$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.77 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked eSports Cologne | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Dortmund eSports | 60c | 544.42$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.36 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed eSports Cologne | 38c | 496.66$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed eSports Cologne | 3c | 476.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Dortmund eSports | 65c | 452.41$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.73 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Dortmund eSports | 65c | 302.9$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed eSports Cologne | 31c | 283.72$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…b3e6backed Dortmund eSports | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…6c2abacked eSports Cologne | 22c | 235.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed eSports Cologne | 15c | 195.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Dortmund eSports | 63c | 186.9$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked eSports Cologne | 30c | 151.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Dortmund eSports | 65c | 145.53$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked eSports Cologne | 40c | 141.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed eSports Cologne | 22c | 109.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -18.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Dortmund eSports | 63c | 105.4$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed eSports Cologne | 37c | 101.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Dortmund eSports | 63c | 101.68$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed eSports Cologne | 33c | 95.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed eSports Cologne | 11c | 94.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed eSports Cologne | 26c | 90.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 191 | 40.3%77 W · 114 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked eSports Cologne | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked eSports Cologne | 34c | 82.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked eSports Cologne | 30c | 80.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed eSports Cologne | 34c | 78.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed eSports Cologne | 35c | 77.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Dortmund eSports | 63c | 77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed eSports Cologne | 37c | 76.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed eSports Cologne | 23c | 70.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -29.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Dortmund eSports | 61c | 64.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Dortmund eSports | 75c | 63.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked eSports Cologne | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed eSports Cologne | 30c | 59.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Dortmund eSports | 64c | 55.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed eSports Cologne | 35c | 45.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Dortmund eSports | 63c | 39.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Dortmund eSports | 63c | 37.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed eSports Cologne | 28c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8a…89e9backed eSports Cologne | 39c | 36.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Dortmund eSports | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Dortmund eSports | 64c | 29.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Dortmund eSports | 64c | 27.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…2c9bbacked Dortmund eSports | 64c | 21.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Dortmund eSports | 61c | 20.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…03a8backed Dortmund eSports | 64c | 18.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: eSports Cologne vs Dortmund eSports (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: eSports Cologne vs Dortmund eSports - Map 1 WinnerDortmund eSports won
- Valorant: eSports Cologne vs Dortmund eSports - Map 2 WinnerDortmund eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.