Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: eSports Cologne vs Dortmund eSports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bf87851798231a3a0f0684879ad39c49c07d2d995ab696f227ab7a1856ad7e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dortmund eSportsof eSports Cologne, Dortmund eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Dortmund eSports | 76c | 4,496$3,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.15 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked eSports Cologne | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed eSports Cologne | 23c | 2,387$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.09 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Dortmund eSports | 65c | 1,135$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.26 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…0d18backed Dortmund eSports | 62c | 805.41$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.84 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed eSports Cologne | 23c | 715.35$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.53 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed eSports Cologne | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked eSports Cologne | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed eSports Cologne | 20c | 248.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -29.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed eSports Cologne | 22c | 192.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Dortmund eSports | 56c | 185.25$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 666 | 38%253 W · 413 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d1…2bb3backed eSports Cologne | 24c | 136$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Dortmund eSports | 55c | 129.6$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed eSports Cologne | 26c | 126$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed eSports Cologne | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 1,748 | 46.2%808 W · 940 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed eSports Cologne | 25c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed eSports Cologne | 38c | 99.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Dortmund eSports | 74c | 98.44$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Dortmund eSports | 59c | 83.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed eSports Cologne | 29c | 82.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 1,001 | 45.9%459 W · 542 L | -28.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed eSports Cologne | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed eSports Cologne | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked eSports Cologne | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Dortmund eSports | 57c | 53.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Dortmund eSports | 60c | 45.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Dortmund eSports | 78c | 41.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Dortmund eSports | 70c | 27.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Dortmund eSports | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Dortmund eSports | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dortmund eSports | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,503 | 46.5%699 W · 804 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: eSports Cologne vs Dortmund eSports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: eSports Cologne vs Dortmund eSports (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Group StageDortmund eSports won
- Valorant: eSports Cologne vs Dortmund eSports - Map 2 WinnerDortmund eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.