UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Eryk Anders (Middleweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a5c1c51d135778ce54835e1440dea1557067bbcf3442b157a944f895c260d27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eryk Andersof Brad Tavares, Eryk Anders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $974,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $974,874 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 370 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Eryk Anders | 54c | 290,126$156,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134,075.01 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Brad Tavares | 46c | 248,969$114,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114,025.66 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Eryk Anders | 55c | 99,000$54,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,550 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Eryk Anders | 55c | 70,000$38,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,500 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Brad Tavares | 46c | 61,217$28,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,159.82 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Eryk Anders | 50c | 44,228$22,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,115.18 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Brad Tavares | 45c | 41,159$18,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,521.65 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Brad Tavares | 50c | 38,485$19,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,242.7 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Eryk Anders | 54c | 38,000$20,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,479.78 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Brad Tavares | 45c | 37,978$17,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,090.21 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Brad Tavares | 45c | 35,277$15,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,874.51 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Eryk Anders | 54c | 33,544$18,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,430.26 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Brad Tavares | 46c | 23,048$10,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,602.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…6f94backed Brad Tavares | 49c | 21,400$10,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,492 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Brad Tavares | 21c | 20,082$4,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,193.42 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Brad Tavares | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Brad Tavares | 45c | 14,242$6,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,380.25 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Brad Tavares | 37c | 13,532$4,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,988.43 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Brad Tavares | 47c | 13,295$6,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,208.58 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Eryk Anders | 56c | 13,045$7,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,693.32 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7a…8536backed Eryk Anders | 59c | 12,513$7,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,127.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Brad Tavares | 46c | 12,000$5,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,520 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Brad Tavares | 49c | 12,000$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,879.98 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab5b…316cbacked Eryk Anders | 65c | 11,789$7,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,158.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Brad Tavares | 45c | 10,106$4,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,548.76 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Brad Tavares | 7c | 10,028$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.94 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Eryk Anders | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.97 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Eryk Anders | 54c | 8,792$4,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,008.03 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Eryk Anders | 55c | 7,818$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,518.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Brad Tavares | 43c | 6,132$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,658.17 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Eryk Anders | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Brad Tavares | 48c | 5,846$2,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.27 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed2…4671backed Brad Tavares | 50c | 5,831$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Eryk Anders | 54c | 5,738$3,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.66 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Brad Tavares | 46c | 5,088$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.91 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Brad Tavares | 46c | 5,002$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.72 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Brad Tavares | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Eryk Anders | 59c | 4,964$2,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.56 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Eryk Anders | 75c | 4,755$3,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.7 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa850…f1babacked Brad Tavares | 46c | 4,409$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Eryk Anders | 66c | 4,153$2,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.45 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Brad Tavares | 49c | 4,021$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.39 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Brad Tavares | 40c | 3,840$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.56 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Eryk Anders | 67c | 3,758$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.54 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…b6c6backed Brad Tavares | 40c | 3,511$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Eryk Anders | 61c | 3,431$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.33 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Brad Tavares | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.96 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Brad Tavares | 40c | 3,049$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.43 | 360 | 48.3%174 W · 186 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Eryk Anders | 53c | 2,952$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.04 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Brad Tavares | 31c | 2,780$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.41 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Eryk Anders | 44c | 2,567$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.39 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Brad Tavares | 46c | 2,483$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Eryk Anders | 75c | 2,211$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.64 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Eryk Anders | 57c | 2,201$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.07 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Brad Tavares | 45c | 2,100$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Brad Tavares | 48c | 2,071$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.5 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…128ebacked Brad Tavares | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Brad Tavares | 31c | 1,837$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.17 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Eryk Anders | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Eryk Anders | 51c | 1,760$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.39 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Brad Tavares | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.97 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Eryk Anders | 55c | 1,458$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.18 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…34e4backed Eryk Anders | 63c | 1,246$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Eryk Anders | 58c | 1,215$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.62 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Brad Tavares | 37c | 1,200$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Brad Tavares | 57c | 1,147$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Brad Tavares | 41c | 1,091$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.56 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Brad Tavares | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Brad Tavares | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Eryk Anders | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…434ebacked Brad Tavares | 47c | 972.13$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Eryk Anders | 51c | 961.19$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.63 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Eryk Anders | 50c | 938.53$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.37 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Eryk Anders | 61c | 903.06$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.06 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…20d1backed Brad Tavares | 51c | 855.05$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.08 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Brad Tavares | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Brad Tavares | 6c | 800$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…359dbacked Brad Tavares | 46c | 787.79$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Eryk Anders | 55c | 762.96$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.33 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brad Tavares | 39c | 753.84$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.41 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Brad Tavares | 41c | 716.11$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.13 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed Brad Tavares | 49c | 714.88$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Brad Tavares | 57c | 692$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Brad Tavares | 18c | 678.06$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…df85backed Brad Tavares | 30c | 672$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Eryk Anders | 65c | 653.53$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.74 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Brad Tavares | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Eryk Anders | 54c | 645.48$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.49 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Brad Tavares | 46c | 639$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.94 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Eryk Anders | 74c | 625$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Eryk Anders | 60c | 611.19$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.51 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…0fefbacked Eryk Anders | 55c | 610.91$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…3aaebacked Brad Tavares | 30c | 605.98$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Eryk Anders | 66c | 599.99$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.4 | 378 | 54.8%207 W · 171 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Brad Tavares | 46c | 582.61$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Brad Tavares | 48c | 562.24$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.96 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Eryk Anders | 55c | 555$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Eryk Anders | 55c | 554.55$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.55 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Brad Tavares | 45c | 550$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb096…fd64backed Brad Tavares | 45c | 550$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Eryk Anders (Middleweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Eryk Anders win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.