CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d1571a95f0494f51f48be0767e5c97f4dadf279261f94ba0801f6ebdd83fac1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Nemiga, 5Actors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,836 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Nemiga | 55c | 3,348$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.69 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 5Actors | 45c | 3,283$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.62 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Nemiga | 64c | 1,126$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.54 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Nemiga | 55c | 887.97$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.59 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…a82bbacked 5Actors | 39c | 883.92$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed 5Actors | 30c | 808.62$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.4 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…0832backed Nemiga | 75c | 781.02$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed 5Actors | 25c | 665.94$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed 5Actors | 34c | 411.76$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf248…72bfbacked 5Actors | 44c | 410.35$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.8 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Nemiga | 62c | 376.7$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.87 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed 5Actors | 46c | 374.16$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.96 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb096…fd64backed 5Actors | 37c | 332.43$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed 5Actors | 43c | 260$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x796c…49dbbacked 5Actors | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Nemiga | 56c | 200.55$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.24 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Nemiga | 57c | 171.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.76 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Nemiga | 54c | 147.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked 5Actors | 27c | 113$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Nemiga | 60c | 109.55$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…3c3fbacked Nemiga | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…9da8backed 5Actors | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Nemiga | 58c | 92.87$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked 5Actors | 20c | 86.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b0…c3f0backed 5Actors | 44c | 78.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Nemiga | 59c | 75.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Nemiga | 65c | 52.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed 5Actors | 45c | 50.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…4208backed 5Actors | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 243 | 39.5%96 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked 5Actors | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga | 57c | 49.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Nemiga | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed 5Actors | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…fb0bbacked 5Actors | 40c | 29.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs 5Actors - Map 1 WinnerNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs 5Actors - Map 2 Winner5Actors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.